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10x Research:10 年期国债收益率上升及特朗普当选几率提升,将加剧市场对通胀的担忧

2024-10-23 19:30:37
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ChainCatcher 消息,10x Research 在社交媒体发文表示,10年期国债收益率自 9 月 FOMC 会议的 3.6% 上升至 4.2%(+60 个基点)。收益率突破 4.0% 的同时,特朗普的选举概率上升至 60%,加剧了市场对通胀的担忧。较高的债券收益率通常预示着未来加息次数减少。10 月 4 日,非农就业数据超预期,新增 254k 个工作岗位,随后特朗普开始竞选活动,进一步提升了他的选举概率。这一收益率上升导致美国小盘股(Russel 2000)和比特币出现调整。

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