BTC $84,624.63 -0.01%
ETH $2,682.18 -0.82%
BNB $769.07 -0.13%
XRP $1.49 -0.06%
SOL $119.35 +0.48%
TRX $0.3348 +0.17%
DOGE $0.0932 -0.50%
ADA $0.2476 +1.10%
BCH $312.95 +2.94%
LINK $13.90 -2.16%
HYPE $89.12 +1.48%
AAVE $179.86 +3.51%
SUI $1.19 +1.83%
XLM $0.2157 -0.79%
ZEC $1,321.00 -0.65%
AAPL $333.19 +0.69%
AMZN $251.58 +1.06%
GOOGL $342.90 +0.98%
MSFT $517.09 +0.39%
META $727.06 +0.05%
NVDA $234.40 +1.21%
TSLA $370.94 +4.31%
SNDK $1,719.07 -3.54%
INTC $118.89 -1.27%
SPCX $158.91 +6.55%
MU $1,066.42 -2.29%
AMD $634.86 +2.40%
BTC $84,624.63 -0.01%
ETH $2,682.18 -0.82%
BNB $769.07 -0.13%
XRP $1.49 -0.06%
SOL $119.35 +0.48%
TRX $0.3348 +0.17%
DOGE $0.0932 -0.50%
ADA $0.2476 +1.10%
BCH $312.95 +2.94%
LINK $13.90 -2.16%
HYPE $89.12 +1.48%
AAVE $179.86 +3.51%
SUI $1.19 +1.83%
XLM $0.2157 -0.79%
ZEC $1,321.00 -0.65%
AAPL $333.19 +0.69%
AMZN $251.58 +1.06%
GOOGL $342.90 +0.98%
MSFT $517.09 +0.39%
META $727.06 +0.05%
NVDA $234.40 +1.21%
TSLA $370.94 +4.31%
SNDK $1,719.07 -3.54%
INTC $118.89 -1.27%
SPCX $158.91 +6.55%
MU $1,066.42 -2.29%
AMD $634.86 +2.40%

分析:筹码结构显示 BTC 底部正形成,66,000 美元为真实资金入场区

2026-05-08 17:52:05

ChainCatcher 消息,分析师 Murphy 表示,市场普遍关注 6 万美元的价格低点,但筹码结构分析揭示,比特币真正的底部基础或在于 66,000 美元附近的密集换手区。

数据显示,该位置累计了约 44 万枚 BTC,其中 24 万枚的换手发生在 2 月至 4 月期间。当前,6.5 万至 7.8 万美元区间的筹码占比已达 13.8%。尽管仍低于 2022 年 10 月 FTX 暴雷前 18.7% 的水平,但考虑到本轮周期中,ETF 和 MicroStrategy 等传统资金已将约 13% 的流通筹码锁定在相对高位,当前比例已具备构建底部结构的基础。

若市场能出现二次回踩,在该区间实现进一步换手,将使底部基础更加厚实,具备更强的“抗击打能力”。真正的底部不应以最低价(6 万美元)为起点,而应以大资金集中进场的换手区(66,000 美元)为判断标准。当前 7.8 万至 8.2 万美元区间换手仍不充分,市场分歧尚需消化。

app_icon
ChainCatcher 与创新者共建Web3世界