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4E Exchange: US CPI declines for five consecutive months, but core inflation remains stubborn, expectations for interest rate cuts are hit

2024-09-12 11:58:43
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ChainCatcher news, according to 4E Exchange observation, the year-on-year growth rate of the U.S. CPI in August fell to 2.5%, marking a decline for the fifth consecutive month, but the core CPI rose 0.3% month-on-month, exceeding expectations. The market has lowered its expectations for a 50 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve next week, with the likelihood of a 25 basis point cut rising to 85%.

After the data was released, U.S. stocks experienced a V-shaped rebound following an initial drop at the open, with all three major indices closing higher. The Dow Jones increased slightly by 0.31%, the Nasdaq rose by 2.17%, and the S&P 500 index gained 1.07%. Tech stocks led the rebound, with Nvidia rising over 8%. In the foreign exchange and commodities markets, the U.S. dollar index surged, putting pressure on non-U.S. currencies, while gold experienced significant volatility.

CPI data indicates that the Federal Reserve is approaching its 2% target, a change that will support future rate cuts, benefiting risk assets and supporting the long-term rise of U.S. stocks and cryptocurrency assets like Bitcoin. However, the Fed's focus on core inflation may lead to a more cautious monetary policy, limiting the short-term upside potential for the market.

4E Exchange is a financial trading platform supporting assets such as cryptocurrencies, stock indices, commodity gold, and foreign exchange, and is a platinum sponsor for Token2049 in 2024. 4E reminds you to be aware of market volatility risks and to allocate assets wisely.

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