JPMorgan: The risk of the U.S. debt ceiling is reduced due to the election results

ChainCatcher news, according to Caixin, JPMorgan stated that the election results have reduced the risk of intense debates surrounding the U.S. debt ceiling in the first half of 2025 and alleviated uncertainties regarding the evolution of the Treasury General Account (TGA). The debt ceiling has been suspended until January 1, 2025, after which the Treasury will begin to utilize extraordinary measures and its cash balance to meet its debt obligations.

JPMorgan believes that assuming the Treasury's TGA forecast for the fourth quarter of 2024 is $700 billion, and with a slight increase in extraordinary measures, the Treasury is unlikely to exhaust its resources and face the risk of a technical default before July 2025.