The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in March is 77.3%, while the probability of a rate cut is 22.7%

According to Jinshi reports, CME's "FedWatch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged until March is 77.3%, while the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 22.7%. By April, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 36.2%, the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 58.1%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate cut is 5.6%. By June, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 50.2%.