The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in March is 80.4%

According to Jinshi News, CME's "Fed Watch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged until March is 80.4%, while the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 19.6%. By April, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 36%, the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 58.8%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate cut is 5.3%. By June, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 49.3%.