The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in March has risen to 94%, while the probability of a rate cut has fallen to 6%
According to Jinshi reports, the CME "Fed Watch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates unchanged until March has risen to 94% (up from 78.3% before the announcement), while the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut has dropped to 6% (down from 21.7% before the announcement). By April, the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 80.4%, and the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 18.8%. By June, the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 49.4%.
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