Data: The probability of Polymarket BTC being above $72,000 today is only 4%. It briefly rose to $74,000 last night before falling back

In the Polymarket prediction event "Bitcoin price above x dollars," the current probability of BTC being above $72,000 today is only 4%, and the probability of being above $74,000 is less than 1%; the probability of being above $70,000 is also only 81% (below the current market price).

Last night, the price of Bitcoin briefly surged, rising close to $74,000, but then quickly fell back, currently fluctuating around $70,600, with the probabilities in the related prediction markets clearly cooling down.