The probability of the Federal Reserve lowering interest rates in June has risen to 7.1%, while the probability of maintaining the current interest rate is 92.4%

According to Jinshi reports, CME's "Fed Watch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates by 25 basis points in April is 0.5%, while the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 99.5%. By June, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut rises to 7.1%, with the probability of keeping rates unchanged at 92.4%. By July, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 18.1%, and the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 80.6%.