The probability of the Polymarket "CLARITY Act officially taking effect in 2026" has risen to 67%, up 21% in 24 hours

The probability of the Polymarket "CLARITY Act officially taking effect in 2026" has risen to 67%, up 21% in 24 hours. The event contract rules are: if the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act of 2025 (H.R.3633) is passed by both houses of the U.S. Congress and signed into law before 11:59 PM Eastern Time on December 31, 2026, the answer will be "yes"; otherwise, it will be "no."

Coinbase has indicated that a key disagreement regarding the yield terms for stablecoin holdings has been compromised with traditional banks, clearing obstacles for the U.S. Senate to advance the cryptocurrency market structure bill. Previously, banks had lobbied to restrict or prohibit exchanges from offering yields to stablecoin holders, mainly concerned about funds flowing out of the banking deposit system. Coinbase Chief Policy Officer Faryar Shirzad stated that the final proposal retains space for users to earn rewards through crypto platforms and networks based on actual use cases while adding some restrictions. This progress is expected to facilitate the CLARITY Act entering the voting process in the Senate Banking Committee.