NYDIG: The decline in Bitcoin is due to a combination of multiple factors such as AI, tech IPOs, quantum computing, and Strategy sales

According to CoinDesk, NYDIG's Global Research Director Greg Cipolaro stated that the decline in Bitcoin does not have a single cause, but is due to multiple overlapping factors. The AI sector continues to siphon funds from the crypto market, and investors are preparing for large tech IPOs such as SpaceX, OpenAI, and Anthropic, with institutions needing to raise cash or reduce existing positions.

The U.S. Treasury Secretary claimed to have seized approximately $1 billion in Iranian-related crypto assets, raising concerns about government intervention in the digital asset market. Quantum computing threats have once again become a focal point, and Strategy's sale of 32 BTC, while negligible on the supply side, has a greater psychological impact.

Cipolaro pointed out that on-chain indicators show that several metrics are approaching historical bottom levels, with the MVRV ratio dropping to 1.2 and the proportion of profitable supply recently falling below 50%. However, the current 53% drawdown is far lower than the previous cycle's levels of 75%-90%, and it has only been 242 days since the peak. This suggests that either institutions have fundamentally changed Bitcoin's cyclical behavior, or the market has not yet truly entered a capitulation phase.