Bitget UEX Daily Report | US-Iran ceasefire remains undecided; chip storage shortage continues; Apple AI platform upgrades Google technical support (June 9, 2026)

I. Hot News

Federal Reserve Dynamics Federal Reserve Focuses on Weakening Household Financial Expectations

• The New York Fed's May consumer expectations survey shows a decline in short-term inflation expectations, but medium- and long-term expectations remain stable; expectations for rising home prices are warming, labor market expectations are deteriorating, concerns about unemployment are rising, and confidence in job searching is declining, leading to a pessimistic outlook on household finances and credit access. This data reflects pressure on consumer confidence, which may affect consumer spending and the overall pace of economic recovery. Market expectations for the Federal Reserve's subsequent policy path may be slightly adjusted as a result, with attention on further validation of inflation and employment data.

International Commodities Uncertain Ceasefire Prospects Amid US-Iran Tensions

• Trump attempted to dissuade Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu from retaliating against Iranian missile attacks, but the strategic interests of both sides are clearly diverging; the Iranian Speaker of Parliament accuses the US of violating the ceasefire agreement and the blockade as the root cause.
• The uncertainty in the situation has pushed up energy risk premiums, intensifying short-term oil price volatility, but if ceasefire progress is smooth, it may alleviate supply concerns.

Macroeconomic Policy OpenAI Secretly Submits IPO Application; H-1B Visa Fee Order Denied

• OpenAI announced it has secretly submitted an S-1 filing, and competitor Anthropic is also advancing towards an IPO, aiming to capitalize on the AI boom.
• A judge rejected Trump's executive order imposing a $100,000 fee on H-1B visas, benefiting tech companies that rely on foreign technical talent. These developments highlight the active capital operations in the AI sector, while adjustments in immigration policy may alleviate the shortage of tech talent, providing positive support for related sectors.

II. Market Review

Commodity & Forex Performance

• Spot Gold: $4,3270/oz, down 0.05%.
• Spot Silver: $67.9/oz, down 0.4%.
• WTI Crude Oil: $91.30/barrel, up 0.13%.
• Brent Crude Oil: $94.10/barrel, up 0.01%.
• Dollar Index: 100.00, up 0.02%.

Cryptocurrency Performance

• BTC: $62,570, down 1.22%.
• ETH: $1,665, down 1.55%.
• Total Cryptocurrency Market Cap: $2.24 trillion, down 0.7%.
• Market Liquidation Situation: Total liquidation in 24H approximately $283 million, with long positions liquidated around $156 million.
• Bitget BTC/USDT Liquidation Map: Current BTC price approximately $62,617, with recent large long liquidation zones concentrated around $61,800-$62,300. As prices rebound, long positions in this area have largely been cleared, releasing some short-term downward pressure. Above $64,300-$65,000, there is a cumulative short liquidation zone exceeding $500 million. If BTC continues to rebound and breaks through $64,000, it may trigger short covering, further accelerating the price above $65,000.

• Spot ETF Net Inflow/Outflow: BTC spot ETF had a net inflow of $142 million yesterday.

US Stock Index Performance

• Dow Jones: Down 0.16%, at 50,786.01 points, with relatively stable performance.
• S&P 500: Up 0.30%, at 7,405.73 points, benefiting from some tech rebounds.
• Nasdaq: Up 0.86%, at 25,929.66 points, driven significantly by sectors like semiconductors.

Tech Giants Dynamics

• NVIDIA (NVDA): $208.64, up 1.73%.
• Apple (AAPL): $301.54, down 1.89%.
• Tesla (TSLA): $408.95, up 4.59%.
• Microsoft (MSFT): $421.39, down 1.55%.
• Google (GOOGL): $362.48, down about 1.05%.
• Meta (META): $593.00, down about 1.97%.
• Amazon (AMZN): $246.03, down about 0.20%.

Cryptocurrency Market Stock Contract Overview

• Total Trading Volume in 24H: $1.785 billion (+178.35%)
• Total Open Interest (OI): $7.473 billion (+0.44%)
• Total Liquidation in 24H: $17.93 million
• Trading Volume Proportion: 9.12%
• Open Interest Proportion: 7.29%
• Liquidation Proportion: 6.39%

Sector Open Interest Ranking

1. Technology Sector: $1.138 billion (Ranked First)
2. Financial Sector: $146 million
3. Consumer Sector: $68.68 million
4. Biotechnology Sector: $19.96 million
5. Industrial Sector: $17.84 million

Market Capital Flow Observation

The technology sector's open interest scale is far ahead, indicating that AI, semiconductors, and large tech stocks remain the main trading directions in the market; the financial sector's open interest remains high, reflecting ongoing market attention to interest rate policies and bank sector performance; the open interest in biotechnology and industrial sectors is relatively small, with limited capital attention.

Heat Map Capital Distribution (by Open Interest)

Commodities

• Gold (GOLD): 3.241 billion yuan (the largest holding in the market)
• Silver (SILVER): 773 million yuan
• WTI Crude Oil: 603 million yuan
• Brent Crude Oil (BRENT): 402 million yuan

Tech Stocks

• NVIDIA (NVDA): 255 million yuan
• Marvell Technology (MRVL): 169 million yuan
• Google (GOOGL): 110 million yuan
• Intel (INTC): 80.95 million yuan
• Microsoft (MSFT): Leading in holding scale
• Tesla (TSLA): Active in holdings
• SanDisk (SNDK): Gained capital attention driven by AI storage themes
• Circle (CRCL): 95.33 million yuan

Capital continues to concentrate in safe-haven assets like gold and silver, with gold leading at 3.241 billion yuan, indicating that the market remains vigilant about macro uncertainties and inflation risks.

The technology sector remains the core trading direction in the stock contract market, with AI-related targets like NVIDIA, Google, and Marvell Technology maintaining high interest, reflecting ongoing capital bets on the growth of AI infrastructure and computing power demand.

Sector Movement Observation Semiconductor/Storage Concepts Stand Out

• Representative Stocks: Intel up over 11%, Micron Technology up nearly 10-11%.
• Driving Factors: Continued storage supply shortages, statements from Jensen Huang, and Morgan Stanley analysis strengthen market expectations.

Optical Communication and Related Sectors Strengthen, benefiting from data center demand.

III. In-Depth Analysis of US Stocks

1. Apple (AAPL) - Release of Next-Generation AI Platform Event Overview: Apple unveiled its next-generation AI platform at WWDC, including an upgraded Siri, supported by Google's Gemini technology. The new architecture enhances contextual understanding, application operation, and screen perception capabilities, focusing on AI, performance, and security; macOS is named Golden Gate, with adjustments to Liquid Glass design. Market Interpretation: Institutions are paying attention to Apple's pace in catching up in AI; this collaboration and upgrade are seen as key recovery measures, but the stock price faced short-term pressure post-release, reflecting ongoing market scrutiny of execution capabilities. Investment Insight: The deepening AI ecosystem is expected to benefit Apple hardware and services in the long term, but competition dynamics and user adoption rates need to be monitored.

2. NVIDIA (NVDA) / Micron (MU) - Rumors of Storage Halving Event Overview: Rumors regarding memory configuration adjustments in NVIDIA's Vera Rubin rack have drawn attention, with Morgan Stanley confirming this is due to supply shortages rather than weak demand, and raising global semiconductor revenue forecasts while maintaining an overweight rating on related stocks. Market Interpretation: Analysts believe that supply constraints in AI infrastructure remain a major bottleneck, benefiting memory manufacturers. Investment Insight: Monitor supply chain dynamics; storage shortages may continue to support the performance of related sectors.

3. Tesla (TSLA) - Roadster Release Approaches Event Overview: Executives confirmed that the next-generation Roadster electric supercar will be released in a few weeks, earlier than previously expected. Market Interpretation: Product catalysts boost stock prices, with the market focusing on EV and innovation pipeline progress. Investment Insight: The pace of new product releases is crucial for Tesla's valuation, requiring continuous tracking of execution.

IV. Cryptocurrency Project Dynamics

1. Citrini Research, which caused panic in the AI stock market in February, has listed Hyperliquid and its HYPE token as new "attractive" investment targets. The report points out that unlike most crypto assets (including Bitcoin), HYPE generates real cash flow and has a buyback mechanism. The report states that over 90% of the fees generated by the platform are transferred to the buyback fund, and since its launch in January 2025, over $2 billion worth of HYPE has been repurchased, accounting for nearly half of last year's entire crypto industry token buyback activity. The report believes that the investment logic of HYPE is increasingly tied to the performance of the exchange's business. Despite the US CFTC opening the regulatory door for crypto perpetual contracts last month, exchanges like Kraken and Coinbase are competing to launch related products, but Hyperliquid stands out in the crypto industry due to its revenue-generating capabilities.

2. Arthur Hayes published "Reality Test," systematically outlining his bearish views on the AI bubble burst and the subsequent trends in the crypto market. Hayes believes that the conflict between the US and Iran has led to rising oil prices, which in turn raises energy costs, ultimately harming the profit margins of AI companies and suppressing their growth expectations. He points out that the upcoming IPO valuations of the three AI giants, SpaceX, Anthropic, and OpenAI, are too high, and the market cannot absorb such a large supply, which will be one of the key factors in bursting the AI bubble. Additionally, to respond to voter dissatisfaction with inflation, Trump may adopt anti-AI rhetoric and policy positions during the election year, which will trigger market turbulence.

Based on this judgment, Hayes revealed that his fund Maelstrom has liquidated HYPE, NEAR, WLD, and ZEC. He stated that he will continue to hold Bitcoin and Ethereum, believing that Ethereum lacks vitality but is still usable, while he will establish tactical short positions through derivatives to meet trading needs. Hayes believes that Bitcoin will fall in the short term along with the AI bubble but will ultimately benefit from liquidity injections after the crisis.

3. The market capitalization of tokenized stocks has reached $5.5 billion, driven by the SpaceX IPO and the expansion of exchange businesses.

4. Coinbase's institutional strategy head John D'Agostino stated that despite Bitcoin recently falling below $60,000, institutions are not panicking; instead, they are taking the opportunity to accumulate. He said, "Those family offices, government funds, and sovereign funds that are trying to buy these assets can do so at a discount, and they are not discouraged. Lower prices are actually more favored."

5. According to Michael Saylor, shareholders of Strategy Inc. have officially approved amendments to the STRC (Stretch Preferred Stock) terms, changing the dividend payment frequency from once a month to twice a month (Semi-Monthly). Under the new arrangement, the first ex-dividend record date will be June 30, 2026, and the first payment date will be July 15, 2026.

6. FTX co-founder Sam Bankman-Fried (SBF) has officially applied for a presidential pardon from US President Donald J. Trump through the US Department of Justice's pardon website. Bankman-Fried was sentenced to 25 years in prison in 2024 for fraud and misappropriation of customer funds related to the FTX collapse. It is unclear whether the White House will consider the application, and the reasons for the application and specific legal procedures have not been disclosed. Following this news, FTT surged by 60% yesterday.

V. Today's Market Calendar

Important Event Forecast
June 9 (Tuesday)

1. Apple WWDC continues: AI applications and product line updates continue to ferment.
2. US Economic Data: May NFIB Small Business Confidence Index, ADP employment numbers for the week ending May 23, etc.

June 10 (Wednesday)

1. US May CPI data release: Market focuses on the impact of inflation trends on Federal Reserve policy. ★★★★★
2. Major US stock earnings reports: Oracle (ORCL) to be released after hours (with a focus on AI cloud business growth and guidance). ★★★★★
3. TSMC (TSM) May sales data release (focus on semiconductor supply chain).

June 11 (Thursday)

1. SpaceX IPO final pricing: One of the largest IPOs in history ($135/share, expected to raise about $75 billion, with a market cap of nearly $1.77 trillion), a strong catalyst for space/tech stocks. ★★★★★ (Also, a major investor event)
2. US May PPI data release: Key indicator of inflation pressure (expected to rise significantly).
3. US stock earnings: Adobe (ADBE) and others to be released after hours (focus on AI software demand).
4. US-Canada-Mexico World Cup opening (June 11 - July 19): US stocks related to the sports industry may receive attention.

June 12 (Friday)

1. SpaceX officially listed on Nasdaq (code SPCX): A historic IPO event, first trading day, boosting market sentiment. ★★★★★
2. US Economic Data: June University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Index preliminary value, June one-year inflation rate expectation preliminary value.

Core Highlights of US Stocks This Week:
"Super Event Week": SpaceX IPO + Apple WWDC + Major Inflation Data (CPI/PPI) + Oracle/Adobe Earnings, will dominate US tech and macro sentiment. It is recommended to focus on AI, tech infrastructure, and space concept sectors.

Institutional Views: Renowned investment bank analysts believe that the current market balances between AI supply chain tensions, geopolitical risks, and macro data. Morgan Stanley and others have raised semiconductor outlooks, highlighting growth potential under supply constraints; at the same time, weakening consumer expectations remind of economic resilience tests. Although the crypto market faces ETF outflow pressures, the long-term narrative of Bitcoin as a reserve asset remains unchanged. Overall, it is advised to pay attention to Federal Reserve signals and geopolitical easing to boost risk appetite, seeking structural opportunities amid short-term volatility.

Disclaimer: The above content is compiled by AI search, with human verification for release, and does not constitute any investment advice. The data in the text may inevitably contain deviations; please refer to real-time market data.