Polymarket World Cup champion prediction market cumulative trading volume exceeds 1.8 billion dollars

As the group stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup kicks off, the Polymarket World Cup champion prediction market has accumulated a trading volume of over $1.8 billion, with a trading volume exceeding $66 million in the past 24 hours and liquidity in the pool reaching $352.7 million. France slightly leads Spain with an implied championship probability of 16.2% compared to Spain's 16.0%, with the two teams accounting for about 32% combined, and they will directly face each other in the group stage, making this match a key pricing moment for the entire tournament market.

The trading volume for the France champion market reached $40.9 million, while Spain's was $33.6 million, both being the highest for a single country market. The host country, the United States, had a trading volume of $50.9 million, but the implied championship probability is only about 3%, reflecting a high level of retail participation.

In addition, the total trading volume for the 12 group champion markets is approximately $3.4 million. The trading volume over the past week reached $342 million, and $881 million over the past month, showing a significant acceleration in trading volume as the event approaches.