The probability of SpaceX's market value exceeding $2.2 trillion on its first day of trading on Polymarket is 64%

Polymarket's latest data shows that the market bets on the probability of SpaceX's closing market value exceeding $2 trillion on its first day of trading is 78%, the probability of exceeding $2.2 trillion is 64%, and the probability of reaching a market value of $2.4-$2.6 trillion is 19%-39%.

SpaceX will go public tonight, offering 555.6 million shares in its initial public offering (IPO) at a price of $135 per share, raising funds of $75 billion, setting a record for the largest IPO fundraising in history. Based on the offering price of $135 per share, SpaceX's market value has reached $1.77 trillion, surpassing Tesla.