The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates in July is 68.5%, analysis of interest rate hike expectations

According to Jinshi reports, CME's "Fed Watch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in July is 68.5%, and the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 25 basis points is 31.5%. By September, the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 35.7%, the probability of a 25 basis point hike is 49.2%, and the probability of a 50 basis point hike is 15.1%. By October, the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 27.8%, the probability of a 25 basis point hike is 46.2%, the probability of a 50 basis point hike is 22.6%, and the probability of a 75 basis point hike is 3.3%.