Data: The probability of OpenAI releasing Astra on Polymarket before August 31 has risen to 24%, an increase of 8% in 24 hours

The PPP prediction market tool monitoring shows that in the Polymarket "OpenAI Astra Release Date" prediction market, the probability of OpenAI releasing Astra before August 31 has risen to 24%, an increase of 8% in 24 hours; the probability of it being released before September 15 is currently reported at 61%, an increase of 6% in 24 hours. According to the settlement rules, if OpenAI releases Astra before the corresponding deadline, or releases a product confirmed to be the same model as Astra and makes it publicly available, the market will settle as "Yes."

Public testing or open waitlists qualify, but closed testing and private access do not count; the main settlement basis is OpenAI's official information. Previously, OpenAI disclosed that it would slow down the development process of Astra until appropriate safety measures are established. However, OpenAI founder Sam Altman also stated that Astra is a powerful model, and the company is working hard to make it available to a broader range of users.