Analyst: Bitcoin long-term holders have reduced their holdings for 7 consecutive weeks, and the market is still absorbing the selling pressure

Cryptocurrency analyst Axel Adler stated that Bitcoin long-term holders (LTH) have reduced their holdings for the seventh consecutive week, but this has not yet hindered the rise in BTC prices, as the market continues to absorb the supply released by long-term holders.

Data shows that the long-term holder supply change indicator remained positive from February to early August this year, during which long-term holders increased their holdings by approximately 1.2 million BTC in May. This indicator turned negative on August 17 and has been in a reduction state for seven consecutive weeks. As of September 28, the long-term holder supply change decreased by 73,400 BTC, a larger reduction compared to the decrease of 1,100 BTC a week earlier. Axel Adler pointed out that compared to the reduction of about 1.07 million BTC by long-term holders in November 2025, the current reduction scale is still relatively limited.

If the future reduction scale of long-term holders reaches several hundred thousand BTC again, while BTC prices stop rising, it may indicate that the market's ability to absorb supply is declining. Additionally, the long-term holder SOPR indicator has been above 1 for the second consecutive week, indicating that long-term holders are taking profits. On September 21, this indicator rose to 1.24, the highest level since January of this year; as of September 28, the LTH SOPR was 1.18, meaning that BTC in transfer achieved approximately 18% realized profit compared to the cost basis. Current data shows that long-term holders are gradually taking profits as BTC prices rise, while new demand is still able to absorb the supply released by the market.