Nebius's 2027 capital expenditure guidance is as high as 45 billion USD, with a pre-market decline of over 9%

AI cloud computing company Nebius announced its third-quarter financial report, with revenue increasing by 571% year-on-year to $981 million, exceeding market expectations by about 8%; adjusted EBITDA reached $466 million, also higher than the expected $357 million. However, the company expects its full-year revenue for 2026 to fall at the lower end of the guidance range of $3 billion to $3.4 billion, below the market expectation of about $3.37 billion.

What draws more market attention is that Nebius expects capital expenditures in 2027 to reach $40 billion to $45 billion, while providing a revenue outlook of $12 billion to $13 billion, approximately four times that of 2026. The company stated that customer prepayments and investment-grade contract asset-backed financing are expected to cover 75% to 85% of next year's capital expenditures, with the scale of prepayments expected to increase from about $10 billion this year to $17 billion to $20 billion.

The company's CEO stated that since the third quarter, the total value of newly signed contracts has exceeded $12 billion, with Databricks, Datadog, Palantir, and Snowflake all signing multi-year agreements with the company for the first time. Despite significantly exceeding expectations, the full-year revenue guidance fell short of expectations, and the capital expenditure plan of up to $45 billion next year has raised market concerns about AI infrastructure expansion and financing pressures.