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Hong Kong, China: Betting on sports events in "prediction markets" is considered illegal gambling and should cease the promotion of new gambling projects

According to Hong Kong Radio, the Hong Kong government has decided to stop promoting basketball gambling projects. The Secretary for Home Affairs and Youth Affairs, Mak Mei-juan, stated in an interview with this station that the information collected by the authorities shows that the "prediction market" has developed rapidly in recent years, with monthly trading volume increasing from less than $100 million two years ago to over $13 billion last year, of which nearly 40% of the transactions are related to sports. The authorities are concerned that if new gambling projects are promoted at this time, it will lead to greater public concern and even participation in illegal gambling in the "prediction market." Therefore, it is believed that research should be conducted first before deciding on the next steps, and the promotion of new gambling projects should be halted for now.Mak Mei-juan stated that the existing regulated gambling projects have established a more mature monitoring and management system, which can help control risks. However, due to the uncertainty of the "prediction market," as a responsible government, there is a need to conduct research to understand the impact of the "prediction market" and its prevalence in Hong Kong. She also mentioned that the government has always maintained close contact with the Hong Kong Jockey Club, as the club has a rigorous monitoring system to oversee illegal gambling situations, and there are experts specifically targeting the fight against illegal gambling. The government will cooperate with the Jockey Club to obtain professional advice, allowing the authorities to implement measures specifically aimed at illegal gambling.Mak Mei-juan reiterated that the government's consistent policy is not to encourage gambling, and betting on sports projects in the "prediction market" is considered illegal gambling. The authorities will strengthen public education to help citizens understand the harms of gambling and refrain from participating in illegal gambling.

Hu Xiaowei, an associate of the Prince Group in Cambodia, has been sanctioned by the UK

According to Caixin, after being detained for more than two months, the UK has further imposed sanctions on a Southeast Asian fraud network, which includes Hu Xiaowei, who is closely associated with Chen Zhi, the founder of the Prince Group. The UK government refers to Hu Xiaowei as "Chen Zhi's long-term collaborator" in the Prince Group, with their association originating from the "Legend" private server, and later jointly establishing companies both domestically and internationally.The UK government website announced this sanction information on March 26, targeting multiple individuals and entities related to the Prince Group. Chen Zhi, 38, is the founder of the Prince Group, hailing from a fishing village in Fujian. He previously operated an internet café and worked as a network administrator, starting out by hacking and "robbing" the "Legend" private server. He moved to Southeast Asia over a decade ago and changed his nationality to Cambodian, quickly controlling a global telecom fraud network, earning millions daily in his duke position, with a net worth of several billion dollars. The Bitcoin seized by the US alone is valued at $15 billion. At the height of his power, Chen Zhi also expanded his operations in Singapore, the UK, and Taiwan, China. In early January 2026, he was stripped of his Cambodian nationality and extradited back to China for multiple crimes, including fraud, illegal business operations, and concealing criminal proceeds.

Kalshi's ban application was rejected, and a U.S. judge ruled that prediction markets do not take precedence over state gambling regulations

The Chief Judge of the U.S. District Court for the Southern District of Ohio, Sarah D. Morrison, ruled that there is no historical evidence indicating that Congress intended for federal law to take precedence over state regulation of sports gambling, and thus denied the preliminary injunction request filed by the prediction market platform Kalshi.Kalshi had previously sued the Ohio Casino Control Commission in an attempt to prevent it from taking enforcement action against the platform's event contracts under state gambling laws. Last year, the regulatory agency accused Kalshi of operating illegal sports gambling in Ohio.Kalshi argued that the event contracts it offers are derivatives regulated under the Commodity Exchange Act and should fall under the jurisdiction of the CFTC, thereby asserting that federal regulation should take precedence over state gambling laws.However, the judge stated that there is no evidence from historical and legislative context to suggest that Congress intended for the law to supersede state sports gambling regulations, noting that when the Dodd-Frank Act amended relevant laws in 2010, sports gambling was still widely restricted in the U.S.Kalshi announced that it would appeal the ruling. The case is seen as an important test of the legal status of prediction markets, and its outcome could affect the future compliance prospects of other prediction platforms in the U.S., including Polymarket.
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