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According to Bitcoin.com News, the Brazilian presidential election will be held on October 4, and the results may affect the country's leading global cryptocurrency adoption rate and cryptocurrency policy direction. Incumbent President Lula will face off against former President's son Flavio Bolsonaro.If incumbent President Lula is re-elected, it is expected that he will strengthen regulatory and compliance requirements, as the central bank has enhanced oversight of exchanges and may push for taxation on stablecoin transactions (which had been postponed due to the election). If former President's son Flavio Bolsonaro wins, his stance on cryptocurrency is unclear, and there is no record indicating that he has ever mentioned cryptocurrencies. However, he has previously defended individuals associated with the "Bitcoin Pharaoh" pyramid scheme.

According to monitoring data from Arkham, a wallet suspected to be associated with the Humanity team transferred 70 million H to the cryptocurrency exchange Bybit in the past 24 hours, worth 4.91 million USD.This wallet previously sent over 5.35 million USD in H to Sablier for on-chain allocation distribution. 109 days ago, this address received 2.77 billion H tokens from the project team and currently still holds over 2.6 billion H. Monitoring shows that this deposit of tokens to a centralized exchange is the first such operation for this wallet. Due to the H token's price being relatively stable over the past week, market analysis suggests that this large transfer may increase the risk of subsequent price volatility.

According to monitoring data from Arkham, about 14 hours ago, the Trump family's cryptocurrency project World Liberty Fi marked address transferred 25,997,000 WLFI to the cryptocurrency exchange Gate, worth approximately 1.41 million USD, suspected of being a sell-off.

Hyperdash co-founder Hans stated that Hyperliquid's AQAv2 mechanism has formed a new source of revenue. The AQAv2 treasury wallet completed its first payment, paying $14.58 million for the USDC reserves held by the trading platform over the past 30 days. The related funds will enter the aid fund for purchasing HYPE.According to this mechanism, after users bridge USDC to Hyperliquid, Circle will mint corresponding assets on HyperEVM and charge daily for the treasury balance, settling every 30 days. Coinbase and Circle each staked 500,000 HYPE; if payments are not made on time, Coinbase could lose 2% of its staked amount daily. Hans mentioned that Hyperliquid's previous revenue mainly came from trading fees, while AQAv2 allows the platform to earn revenue from the margin deposits themselves, regardless of whether the related funds participate in trading.The first payment covers the period from August 26 to September 24, with an implied average rate of about 3.14%, estimating an annualized revenue of approximately $193 million based on current scale. From January 1 to September 30 this year, Hyperliquid's open contracts increased from $7.72 billion to $16.4 billion, and the platform's margin rose from $4.34 billion to $7.22 billion. During the same period, perpetual contracts accumulated a trading volume of about $2 trillion, and the protocol earned $493.3 million in fees, equivalent to about 2.46 basis points charged per dollar of trading volume. Based on this year's average trading speed and current AQAv2 rates, each $1 of margin can contribute about 15.4 cents in revenue to the protocol annually, with approximately 12.5 cents coming from trading fees and about 2.8 cents from AQAv2. Hans expects that under the baseline scenario of a 20% annual growth in stablecoin scale and Hyperliquid maintaining its current market share of about 8.7%, the protocol's annual revenue could increase from the current approximately $1.11 billion to $2.4 billion by the end of 2030.

According to on-chain analyst @ai_9684xtpa's monitoring, a certain address opened a position on Hyperliquid for the first time, going long on 121.23 BTC with 7x leverage, valued at 10.27 million USD, with an opening price of 84,918.9 USD, currently incurring a loss of 20,000 USD.

According to token unlocking data from the crypto asset data platform RootData, io.net (IO) will unlock approximately 14.14 million tokens at 0:00 Beijing time on October 11, with a value of about 2.37 million USD.

According to the token unlocking data from the crypto asset data platform RootData, Moca Network (MOCA) will unlock approximately 16.765 million tokens at 0:00 Beijing time on October 11, worth about 1.71 million USD.

According to the token unlock data from the crypto asset data platform RootData, Allora (ALLO) will unlock approximately 17.25 million tokens at 0:00 Beijing time on October 11, worth about 4.63 million USD.

A 60-year-old woman in Hong Kong reported that she was defrauded by a scammer who claimed to be an investment expert that she met on an online platform, and was later induced to invest in cryptocurrency on a fake website. Between April 14 and September 22, the woman transferred a total of approximately 21.5 million Hong Kong dollars to a designated investment account multiple times.The platform then required her to pay a margin to prove that the investment account was not used for money laundering. The police have initially classified the case as obtaining property by deception, and the fourth team of the criminal investigation unit of the Sau Mau Ping Police District is following up on the case, with no arrests made yet.

According to Lookonchain monitoring, netherlol (BKJ4...vzz5) bought 383 million PUMP after more than a year, worth 2.4 million USD.The newly created wallet GnZqfY (GnZq...X9qJz) withdrew 189 million PUMP from MEXC 7 hours ago, worth 1.18 million USD.

Analyst Murphy pointed out that BTC has consecutively formed doji candles on the daily chart, with rare upper and lower wicks. Data shows that on August 1, two notable accumulation bars appeared in the range of $62,000 to $63,000, totaling approximately 1.68 million BTC, with a concentration of 12.9%; on October 3, two prominent accumulation bars also appeared in the range of $83,000 to $84,000, totaling approximately 1.52 million BTC, and the concentration has risen to 12%, with the upper warning zone close at hand.After this set of data combinations appeared on August 1, BTC rose from $60,000 to $80,000 in just 17 days. Murphy believes that the accumulation and rising concentration do not indicate a definite direction, but the probability of "amplified volatility" is increasing. It is expected that a significant event may occur in the market within a short period of 1 month or a longer period of 2 months.

According to the market information platform Liquid24/7.xyz, Binance's perpetual ETH has about 5,108.78 sell orders at a price of $2,697.00, with a nominal value of approximately $13.7784 million, which is about 0.13% higher than the mid-price of approximately $2,693.63 at that time.The total buy orders on the near-end market are approximately $55.7766 million, while the sell orders are about $74.4006 million, resulting in a net sell order surplus of approximately $18.624 million, accounting for 14.31% of the total depth.

According to monitoring by Lookonchain, the well-known whale Corus (0x807...aca1) has spent $200,000 to accumulate 7.14 million EDEL.This trader has made a profit of $34.95 million on Hyperliquid and still holds 137,100 HYPE, valued at $12.27 million. EDEL has risen 750% in the past two months.

Doctor Profit stated that it has shorted BTC at $86,200 and plans to add short positions in the range of $86,500 to $89,500, with the current target price still at $79,000.

Alon, co-founder of Pump.fun, stated that two months after the launch of the platform's $15 million Callout reward program, it was found that the initial mechanism inadvertently incentivized undesirable behavior, leading to a flood of low-quality content and weakening users' willingness to continuously create high-quality content.Pump.fun subsequently adjusted the reward algorithm to place greater emphasis on content quality rather than the quantity of posts. According to the new mechanism, the more Callouts a user posts each day, the lower the marginal returns from the new content. Alon mentioned that the reward mechanism is still undergoing iterations, but there is still a lot of work to be done to ensure that a large number of users can sustainably produce high-quality content over the long term.He also stated that the rewards currently cover both top accounts and accounts with fewer than 10 followers, with no favoritism or preferential treatment. Alon suggested that users focus on recommending quality tokens, building trader trust through content, and earning rewards based on the trading volume generated by their Callouts. He emphasized that simply flooding the platform with Callouts or dumping tokens to followers will not yield sustainable returns.

Zach Pandl, the Director of Research at Grayscale, stated that the AI crypto sector rose by 54% in September, significantly outperforming the overall crypto market, which increased by 24%. Despite this recent surge, the sector's market capitalization is still only about $15 billion, making it the smallest category among the six crypto sectors defined by Grayscale.Among the representative tokens in the sector, NEAR rose by 183% in September, Venice (VVV) increased by 70%, World (WLD) went up by 47%, and Bittensor (TAO) climbed by 37%. These projects involve agent commerce, privacy AI applications, human verification, and an open AI network encompassing reasoning, agents, data, and computation.Grayscale believes that public blockchains can provide an open infrastructure for agent payments, identity, privacy computing, and verifiable records, complementing the current AI development ecosystem that is concentrated among a few companies. The AI crypto sector may see one or more major winners in the next five years, and recent performance indicates that investors are beginning to price in the role of blockchain as infrastructure in the emerging agent economy.

According to the market intelligence platform Liquid24/7.xyz, Coinbase's spot BTC has approximately 61.79 sell orders at the price level of $85,134, with a nominal value of about $5.26 million, which is an increase of about 0.46% from the mid-price of approximately $84,746 at that time. The total buy orders at the near end amount to about $25.9161 million, while the sell orders are about $22.7607 million.This sell order is the most prominent resistance at the near end, with net buy orders exceeding by about $3.1554 million, accounting for 6.48% of the total depth.

According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the predicted market Polymarket for the event "LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs," the "Cloud9" option in the sub-market "Match Winner" has experienced a sharp fluctuation in winning probability, dropping from 36.5% an hour ago to the current 17.5% (a fluctuation of 19%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

According to Bitcoin News monitoring, Arkham stated that it has currently tracked about 78% of the 847,700 bitcoins held by Strategy. The on-chain asset value of the labeled wallets is $40.28 billion, with an additional $15.5 billion in assets marked as being held by Fidelity Custody.In this snapshot, the value of Strategy's bitcoin reserves is $71.4 billion. Saylor had previously stated that he would not disclose these addresses. Arkham first labeled most of these holdings in May 2025, while the remaining holdings have yet to be identified.

Polymarket Bitcoin 2026 price prediction market trading volume reached 72.6 million USD, with a reference price of approximately 84,950 USD. The market's implied probabilities show that the chances of Bitcoin reaching 90,000 USD, 95,000 USD, and 100,000 USD before 2027 are 73%, 54%, and 39%, respectively.Kalshi Bitcoin year-end closing price prediction market trading volume is approximately 39.5 million USD, with a predicted value of 86,240 USD. Claude Opus 5.5 and ChatGPT-6 Astra's predictions for Bitcoin's price on December 31, 2026, are 91,500 USD and 94,000 USD, respectively.