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Analyst: Bitcoin remains resilient amid market turbulence, as market consolidation clears leverage to pave the way for the next round of upward movement

Coindesk analyst Omkar Godbole stated that Bloomberg has reaffirmed its prediction: Bitcoin could drop to $10,000------a price level not seen since mid-2020. Industry observers believe this prediction is overly absurd.However, on the largest crypto options trading platform Deribit, about $800 million in open positions are concentrated on $20,000 put options, betting that the price will fall below that level. This is the fourth most popular bearish bet on the platform. This indicates that some traders are preparing for a possible crash. But Deribit stated that not all positions are direct bets against a price crash.Deribit’s Global Retail Sales Head Sidrah Fariq said, "Most positions are more like selling put options rather than directional long hedges. Traders often sell out-of-the-money put options because the probability of reaching those levels is low." Meanwhile, Bitcoin has shown remarkable resilience, maintaining around $70,000 even as crude oil prices rebounded, pushing benchmark oil prices close to $100 in the early session, shaking traditional markets. Ethereum, XRP, and SOL have also remained strong, while HYPE tokens rose about 10% within 24 hours.Analysts say that excessive leverage is being cleared from the Bitcoin market, paving the way for price increases. Diana Pires, Vice President of Sales at crypto platform sFOX, stated in an email, "From a market structure perspective, this consolidation could be constructive, as reducing leveraged positions often lays a more stable foundation for the next wave of movement once clearer macro catalysts emerge."

Bloomberg strategists reaffirm that Bitcoin could drop to $10,000, while industry insiders counter that this would only happen in the event of extreme occurrences like nuclear war

According to CoinDesk, Bloomberg Intelligence senior commodity strategist Mike McGlone reiterated his bearish view that Bitcoin could drop below $10,000, believing that the crypto market is still undergoing a macro-driven long-term adjustment.McGlone pointed out that as institutional participation increases, Bitcoin's correlation with speculative assets has strengthened, undermining its function as a non-correlated hedge against traditional markets. The current market needs to go through a clearing process of excessive speculation. Several analysts have refuted this. The CEO of Quantum Economics stated that for Bitcoin to reach $10,000, extreme events such as a global liquidity crisis, nuclear war, and internet shutdown would be necessary.AdLunam analysts believe that a drop to $28,000 may require a global liquidity contraction or a broader financial stress event. PrimeXBT senior market analysts expect Bitcoin to consolidate in the $60,000 to $70,000 range, with the next major accumulation zone possibly between $30,000 and $40,000, but the likelihood of reaching $10,000 is very low. Some analysts pointed out that Bitcoin completed a major bear market correction in 2022, and the current price is about 50% down from its historical peak, possibly having reached the bottom.
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