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BTC $60,434.72 -0.07%
ETH $1,551.10 -2.28%
BNB $573.25 -0.19%
XRP $1.08 -1.88%
SOL $61.54 -4.98%
TRX $0.3214 +0.13%
DOGE $0.0806 -1.43%
ADA $0.1578 -2.19%
BCH $213.74 -1.78%
LINK $7.31 -0.76%
HYPE $57.24 -0.71%
AAVE $60.32 -3.14%
SUI $0.7060 +0.33%
XLM $0.2061 +5.76%
ZEC $357.75 +8.90%
BTC $60,434.72 -0.07%
ETH $1,551.10 -2.28%
BNB $573.25 -0.19%
XRP $1.08 -1.88%
SOL $61.54 -4.98%
TRX $0.3214 +0.13%
DOGE $0.0806 -1.43%
ADA $0.1578 -2.19%
BCH $213.74 -1.78%
LINK $7.31 -0.76%
HYPE $57.24 -0.71%
AAVE $60.32 -3.14%
SUI $0.7060 +0.33%
XLM $0.2061 +5.76%
ZEC $357.75 +8.90%

dif

Viewpoint: The current market trend is different from previous bear market rebounds; Bitcoin at $60,000 may already be the bottom of this cycle

According to The Block, crypto research firm K33 stated that despite Bitcoin's decline of about 6% after retesting the 200-day moving average of approximately $82,000 this month, the low of about $60,000 in February this year may still represent the largest pullback of this cycle.K33's research director Vetle Lunde pointed out that unlike the bear market rebounds in 2014, 2018, and 2022, this market has experienced a slow recovery lasting 189 days after breaking below the 200-day moving average, and market leverage and risk appetite have not been quickly rebuilt. Therefore, the current trend resembles a mild adjustment rather than a precursor to a new round of deep declines.K33 also noted that institutional capital flows still reflect a defensive sentiment. The latest 13F data shows that institutional investors collectively reduced their holdings by about 26,733 BTC in the first quarter, while retail investors increased their holdings by about 19,395 BTC; among them, neutral strategy firms like Jane Street and Millennium contributed most of the reduction.Additionally, Bitcoin ETFs recently recorded the ninth largest five-day outflow since the launch of the U.S. spot ETF. K33 believes this typically occurs when BTC approaches the ETF cost basis, reflecting that investors tend to stop losses or reduce risk exposure after experiencing a deep pullback.

The bipartisan negotiations on the "CLARITY Act" have not reached an agreement, and the Democrats still have differences regarding the BRCA provisions

According to crypto journalist Eleanor Terrett, sources say that a bipartisan group of minority senators in the U.S. Senate held discussions last night regarding the CLARITY Act, attempting to push the Democrats to make concessions on at least two outstanding issues, but ultimately failed to reach an agreement.Senator Cynthia Lummis stated that both sides had reached consensus on "99% of the content" of the bill and expressed hope that the Democrats would continue to address the remaining issues after the bill passes committee review; otherwise, if a similar incident to FTX occurs in the future, "they can only blame themselves."Reports indicate that Democratic Senators Adam Schiff and Ruben Gallego have been pushing for a compromise on the ethical standards and conflict of interest clauses involving the president's family before the committee review, making it one of the conditions for supporting the bill.Additionally, some Democratic lawmakers have raised concerns about provisions related to the Blockchain Regulatory Certainty Act (BRCA). This provision aims to prohibit lawsuits against non-custodial software developers based on money transfer laws.Sources say that both sides have made substantial progress on ethical and conflict of interest issues, but disagreements over amendments to the BRCA ultimately led to the breakdown of negotiations. The market currently widely expects that this committee review will show clear partisanship.
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