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Trump's eldest son is associated with Kalshi and Polymarket, raising concerns about conflicts of interest and information advantages

According to Fortune, the Trump family is accelerating its entry into the prediction market space, with the Trump Media Technology Group developing a prediction market platform called TruthPredict, allowing users to trade prediction contracts related to significant events. The company has also launched the Truth API, providing Wall Street with quick data access to Truth Social content. Additionally, Donald Trump Jr., the eldest son of Trump, currently serves as a strategic advisor to Kalshi, and his venture capital firm 1789 Capital has invested in competitor Polymarket and joined the advisory board of Polymarket. This means the Trump family is simultaneously associated with the two major prediction market platforms, while the Trump Media Group is building its own prediction market business.Although there is currently no public evidence showing that Donald Trump Jr. or the Trump family is trading on government insider information, the potential conflicts of interest arising from the intertwining of presidential public information, market trading, and family business interests are drawing external attention. Federal agencies are still investigating whether former White House teleprompter operator Gabriel Perez used advance knowledge of Trump's speech content to trade in related markets on Kalshi. The team of Donald Trump Jr. and the Trump Media Technology Group have yet to formally respond to requests for comments regarding insider trading related to the prediction market.

The CFTC warns that event contract markets have an obligation to display clear and accurate derivative pricing information

The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) issued a notice reminding regulated entities involved in the listing, promotion, or acceptance of event contracts to ensure that consumers are provided with clear and accurate product pricing information, avoiding misleading market participants, including the obligation to display clear and accurate derivative pricing information.The CFTC's Market Oversight and Market Participants divisions stated that registered entities and relevant personnel must comply with regulatory requirements, ensuring that users fully understand the product attributes in the CFTC-regulated market, and strengthen the supervision of information disclosure by intermediaries, related parties, and partners. It was also specifically pointed out that displaying event contract prices using the common "American odds format" may mislead traders' understanding of the product nature and prevent users from fully obtaining key trading information such as market depth and price impact.The CFTC requires that market participants clearly show consumers that the products are event contracts on CFTC-regulated exchanges, and any misleading pricing display behavior related to regulated products may violate relevant provisions of U.S. federal law regarding the prohibition of manipulative trading practices.

Bernstein reiterates optimism for Circle: Q2 performance alleviates concerns over stablecoin competition, maintains target price of $140

According to The Block, research firm Bernstein reaffirmed its "Outperform" rating and maintained a target price of $140 after Circle announced its Q2 2026 financial results, believing that the company's latest performance constitutes a "reverse validation" of the market's bearish views. Bernstein analysts stated that the market currently underestimates USDC's long-term growth potential and Circle's advantages in distribution channels, liquidity, and regulatory compliance, due to two major core concerns regarding Circle—intensifying competition in stablecoins and changes in the interest rate environment that may affect reserve income.Investors may not have fully accounted for the future revenue opportunities from transaction fees, partner ecosystems, and the Arc blockchain that Circle could generate. The firm specifically pointed out that several infrastructure initiatives recently advanced by Circle, including obtaining a national trust bank license in the U.S., expanding the Circle Payments Network, and the planned launch of the Arc public chain mainnet on September 16, could all become future growth drivers. Additionally, Bernstein noted that Circle has raised its guidance for other revenues and profit margins after deducting distribution costs for 2026, expecting to confirm approximately $180 million in Arc token presale revenue.Analysts believe that future staking yields, gas fees, and ecosystem partnership revenues from Arc have not been fully reflected in current valuation expectations. As of the end of Q2, the circulating supply of USDC was $73.3 billion, a decrease of 5% from the previous quarter but an increase of 19% year-over-year. Bernstein believes that Circle is shifting from a purely crypto trading infrastructure to payments, real-world asset (RWA) tokenization, and broader financial infrastructure, which will drive USDC into the next phase of growth. Circle's stock closed at $63.28 on Wednesday, and Bernstein's target price of $140 implies a potential upside of about 121%.

Global stock market review for August 5: Asian stocks rose broadly, European stocks had mixed performance, and U.S. stocks were varied

According to Gate market data, on August 5, global stock markets showed mixed performance. In Asia, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 56.15 points, an increase of 1.47%, closing at 3,878.43 points; the Shenzhen Component Index rose by 258.49 points, an increase of 1.86%, closing at 14,144.2 points; the CSI 300 Index rose by 57.22 points, an increase of 1.24%, closing at 4,658.15 points; the ChiNext Index rose by 46.18 points, an increase of 1.32%, closing at 3,535.14 points; the STAR 50 Index rose by 77.31 points, an increase of 4.78%, closing at 1,693.67 points.The Hong Kong Hang Seng Index rose by 62.9 points, an increase of 0.24%, closing at 25,915.82 points. In Europe, the German DAX30 Index fell by 83.97 points, a decrease of 0.32%, closing at 26,139.29 points; the UK FTSE 100 Index rose by 10.68 points, an increase of 0.1%, closing at 10,890.06 points; the French CAC40 Index rose by 2.67 points, an increase of 0.03%, closing at 8,669.3 points; the Euro Stoxx 50 Index fell by 7.45 points, a decrease of 0.11%, closing at 6,479.25 points; the Spanish IBEX35 Index rose by 31.2 points, an increase of 0.16%, closing at 20,054.8 points; the Italian FTSE MIB Index fell by 99.5 points, a decrease of 0.19%, closing at 53,441 points.In the US stock market, the Dow Jones Index rose by 263.06 points, an increase of 0.49%, closing at 54,348.94 points; the S&P 500 Index fell by 13 points, a decrease of 0.17%, closing at 7,723.52 points; the Nasdaq Composite Index fell by 221.55 points, a decrease of 0.83%, closing at 26,363.44 points.
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