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数据:期权指标表明比特币仍有下跌风险,到 6 月底有 30% 的概率跌破 8 万美元

2026-01-20 15:54:37

ChainCatcher 消息,据 CoinDesk 报道,期权市场显示出明显的下行偏斜,到 6 月 26 日比特币跌破 8 万美元的概率为 30%,而同期上涨至 12 万美元以上的概率为 19%。

报道称,在 Derive 和 Deribit 平台上,行权价在 7.5 万美元至 8 万美元之间的看跌期权未平仓合约非常集中,这意味着市场预期价格将下跌至 7 万美元中段。

注:期权偏斜度(衡量看涨期权和看跌期权价格差异的指标)仍然为负值,这意味着短期内存在下行风险。

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