selling

According to QCP Capital's latest market report, Bitcoin has fallen approximately 11.6% this week, continuing to be under pressure. Market sentiment has been affected by the rare news of Strategy selling 32 BTC, although the sale size was only about $2.5 million, which had almost no substantial impact on its holdings of over 840,000 coins. However, it broke the long-standing market expectation of Strategy's "never selling coins," weakening the confidence of some investors.On a macro level, the situation is also unfavorable. The escalation of the Middle East situation and the stagnation of US-Iran negotiations have driven oil prices up, with the risk premium in the Strait of Hormuz being re-emphasized. Meanwhile, US job vacancy data was stronger than expected, reducing the market's bets on a short-term rate cut by the Federal Reserve and reinforcing the expectation of "higher rates for longer." The options market shows a significant increase in defensive sentiment. The 30-day at-the-money implied volatility (ATM IV) rose to about 41.4%, with a weekly increase of about 7 volatility points. The risk reversal indicator remains biased negative, with a short-term inverted yield curve reflecting strong demand for downside protection in the market.QCP believes that the current market is not in a panic sell-off but is re-pricing downside risks. Weak spot demand, rising oil prices, increasing real interest rates, and macro uncertainty are collectively suppressing the performance of risk assets. Meanwhile, AI concept stocks and large tech companies continue to attract significant capital inflows, further diverting risk appetite from the crypto market. QCP points out that if BTC cannot regain a foothold in the $67,000 to $68,000 range, the rebound may still face significant selling pressure. The current market is more inclined to purchase downside protection rather than actively increase risk exposure, as investors await a clearer direction from the macro environment between the paths of "soft landing" and "high inflation, high interest rates, low liquidity."

According to analyst Yu Jin's monitoring, the crypto asset management firm Abraxas Capital allegedly sold 1,000 BTC during last night's decline, worth $67.49 million. Seven hours ago, it transferred 1,000 BTC to Kraken and subsequently withdrew a total of 52.72 million stablecoins from Kraken, including USDC and USDT.

According to on-chain analyst Ai Yi's monitoring, the Fenbushi Capital associated address (0xaF3...74446) transferred 11,101 ETH to the Amber Group recharge address 8 hours ago, valued at 21.94 million USD, with a transfer price of 1,977.24 USD.Tracing back shows that the address withdrew a total of 33,398 ETH from Binance between February 2024 and April 2024 at an average price of 3,039.36 USD, with a total value of approximately 101 million USD; based on the current transfer price, if the aforementioned 11,101 ETH were sold, it would incur a loss of 11.79 million USD.

On-chain data shows that Strategy has transferred back 411 BTC previously moved to Coinbase Prime to its own address, and market speculation about its sale of Bitcoin has cooled down.

According to Onchain Lens monitoring, a whale holding the $HYPE genesis token has begun to profit, estimated to have made over $94,000,000 from $HYPE. They received 819,335 $HYPE from the HyperLiquid genesis token allocation, then purchased 676,798 $HYPE at an average price of $4.29, spending $2,900,000. Eight hours ago, they withdrew 500,000 $HYPE (worth $33,000,000) from the Hyperliquid platform and deposited 211,001 $HYPE (worth $13,820,000) to Coinbase, currently still holding 1,284,955 $HYPE, worth $82,620,000.

The probability of selling Bitcoin on Polymarket's Strategy has surged this week, rising from a low of 11% today to 30%. This morning, Strategy deposited 411.48 BTC into Coinbase, worth $30,300,000.

Strategy CEO Phong Le stated in an interview with Fox Business that the company purchased $1.6 billion in Bitcoin during the second week of May, which is more than the total holdings of most Bitcoin treasury companies in a week.Phong Le mentioned that the current Bitcoin price is attractive, and the company will continue to buy Bitcoin. Although there may be short-term sales of some Bitcoin due to reasons such as utilizing unrealized tax losses, the long-term strategy is to continuously net increase Bitcoin holdings and focus on enhancing the number of Bitcoin per share.He views Bitcoin as "digital capital," believing it is superior to traditional stocks, bonds, and gold, and emphasized that the company will pass Bitcoin earnings to shareholders, similar to the operating model of Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs).

Lookonchain posted on platform X that Michael Saylor's Strategy has just deposited 411.48 BTC into Coinbase Prime, worth 30.3 million dollars; on Polymarket, the probability of MicroStrategy selling BTC before December 31, 2026, has now reached 84%.

Glassnode disclosed the latest on-chain data showing that the Bitcoin spot trading volume difference (7-day moving average) has re-entered a sustained negative range. As the Bitcoin price fell back to around $73,000, the market experienced significant selling pressure accelerating, with sellers continuing to dominate the spot market, and the pressure of chip distribution is gradually accumulating.Recently, during the process of Bitcoin falling back from above $80,000 to around $75,000, spot demand, ETF fund inflows, and volatility expectations have all continued to weaken. Although market positions have been somewhat reset, investor confidence remains limited, presenting an overall cautious wait-and-see attitude.

Cryptocurrency analyst Axel Adler Jr. stated that the inflow of BTC to trading platforms and the outflow of stablecoins from trading platforms simultaneously release a "risk aversion" signal, indicating that selling pressure in the market is increasing. Data shows that the net inflow of BTC to trading platforms over the past 30 days has shifted from an extreme net outflow of 300,000 BTC at the end of March to an inflow of 103,000 BTC, meaning more BTC is being reintroduced to trading platforms in preparation for sale. During the same period, the price of BTC dropped from $80,000 to $73,700.Meanwhile, stablecoins are flowing out of centralized trading platforms at a record pace. The average net flow of stablecoins over the past 30 days has shifted from an inflow of $164 million per day at the end of April to an outflow of $153 million per day. This indicates that the liquidity available for purchasing BTC in the market is decreasing. Axel Adler Jr. pointed out that when BTC flows into exchanges while stablecoins simultaneously flow out of trading platforms, it creates an unfavorable structure of "increased supply and decreased demand," which is a typical risk aversion market condition.He believes that if the net inflow of BTC continues to exceed +100,000 BTC, the market may face a deeper correction; while stable signals would include BTC turning back to a net outflow or stablecoins flowing back into trading platforms.

According to Onchain Lens monitoring, a certain whale sold 123,100 HYPE at a price of $61, exchanging it for 7.5 million USDC, making a profit of $2.5 million after holding for over 1.5 months. The whale purchased this batch of HYPE when it was worth $5 million.

According to the on-chain analysis platform Bubblemaps, the same address cluster it marked has sold approximately $600,000 worth of CWU tokens, but the related addresses still hold about 85% of the CWU supply. The token previously attracted attention due to support from the former president of Ghana.

The latest report from the blockchain analysis platform Swissblock shows that Bitcoin is gradually slipping into a high-risk environment, primarily due to continuous selling by institutional funds, especially driven by net outflows from the U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF. Historical data indicates that whenever this index signals selling pressure overwhelming the market at a structural level, it often corresponds to systematic distribution behavior by institutional funds.On-chain data analysis firm Glassnode also pointed out that since May 7, the U.S. Bitcoin spot ETF has shown net outflows almost every trading day, with institutional selling signals persisting for over two weeks. "Such continuous capital outflows are exerting pressure on the supply side of the market, while currently, there has not been sufficient buying demand to hedge against this," further exacerbating the risk of supply-demand imbalance.In the market, Bitcoin faced short-term pressure on Tuesday due to geopolitical disturbances. Reports indicated that the U.S. is implementing a new round of military strikes against Iran, despite recent progress on a peace agreement between the two sides. Bitcoin's price fell by about 1%, briefly dipping from above $77,000 to around $76,500, but overall it still maintained a range-bound pattern for nearly four months.CoinEx Chief Analyst Jeff Ko stated that although geopolitical events may trigger short-term volatility, the market focus may still lean towards potential reconciliation progress between the U.S. and Iran, with the overall cryptocurrency market "still in a wait-and-see state." In summary, the current Bitcoin market faces dual pressures: on one hand, the continuous outflow of spot ETF funds has weakened key buying support; on the other hand, geopolitical uncertainty has amplified short-term volatility risks. If institutional risk appetite does not improve marginally, the risk index may rise further, necessitating caution against the adjustment pressure brought by technical selling and emotional resonance.

Cryptocurrency analyst Axel Adler Jr. stated that although BTC recently regained the $77,000 level, the net inflow to trading platforms and the continuous outflow from spot ETFs still exert localized selling pressure on the market. Data shows that in the past week, the net inflow of BTC to exchanges was about 18,000 BTC, indicating that more BTC is being transferred to trading platforms in preparation for selling. At the same time, the net outflow from U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs during the same period was about 16,000 BTC. The combined data creates a potential selling pressure of approximately 34,000 BTC.Glassnode data also shows that the daily trading volume of spot BTC ETFs has fallen below $20 billion, having once exceeded $50 billion by the end of 2025, reflecting a cooling of speculative demand from traditional financial channels. However, market sentiment has recently warmed due to improved expectations for a peace agreement between the U.S. and Iran. BTC quickly rebounded to around $77,800 after dropping below $75,000.Derivatives data indicates that this round of price increase was mainly driven by short covering. The total open interest (OI) of BTC slightly rebounded from about 268,000 BTC to 250,000 BTC, and the funding rate also cooled down, indicating a decrease in the crowding of leveraged long positions. Analysts believe that if BTC wants to further challenge the $80,000 mark, it still needs both spot demand and open interest to grow in sync.

According to Onchain Lens monitoring, a certain whale sold 15,000 ETH for $31,120,000 in the past 24 hours. This whale sold 35,000 ETH at an average price of $2,066 over the past 3 days, totaling $72,300,000.

According to Cointelegraph, Strategy Chairman Michael Saylor stated that the company does not rule out selling some Bitcoin before the end of this year, and mentioned that its long-term goal is to maximize Bitcoin holdings per share by 2033. Michael Saylor also indicated that Strategy may also coordinate the sale of equity, credit instruments, and manage dollar and cash positions to run a multi-variable model programmatically, optimizing long-term performance.Data shows that Strategy currently holds 843,768 Bitcoins, with an average purchase price of approximately $75,700.

Strategy Chairman Michael Saylor stated in an interview with Natalie Brunell that the possibility of the company selling some Bitcoin before the end of this year cannot be ruled out, which changes his previous long-standing position of never selling. Michael Saylor pointed out that the company may also manage its dollar and cash positions by selling stocks and credit products. The company currently holds Bitcoin worth approximately $65 billion, with the goal of maximizing the per-share Bitcoin holdings by 2033.According to the official Strategy website and CoinMarketCap data, Strategy currently holds a total of 843,768 Bitcoin, with an average purchase price of about $75,700 per coin.

According to Cointelegraph, the key indicator measuring institutional participation in the crypto market, the Coinbase premium, has fallen into a deeper negative territory, indicating increased selling pressure from institutions. This premium has mostly been negative since the end of April, accelerating its decline over the past seven days, recording a monthly low of -0.0983%. CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost stated that the selling pressure from institutions has intensified recently, suggesting that institutions and professional investors trading on Coinbase Advanced are selling more aggressively than investors on Binance.Since May 14, the U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF has seen net outflows for four consecutive trading days, totaling $1.3 billion. Bitcoin futures and perpetual contracts' open interest has decreased by about $1.5 billion this week. Bitcoin has fallen 4.5% over the past week, hitting a monthly low above $76,000 on Tuesday.