BTC $78,653.50 -0.32%
ETH $2,485.33 +1.17%
BNB $703.83 +1.18%
XRP $1.40 -2.27%
SOL $100.96 +4.38%
TRX $0.3343 -1.20%
DOGE $0.0867 +0.31%
ADA $0.2091 -0.50%
BCH $266.48 +0.31%
LINK $11.57 +2.05%
HYPE $81.15 -1.03%
AAVE $124.71 -2.25%
SUI $0.7489 -2.01%
XLM $0.1820 -0.71%
ZEC $778.61 -0.90%
BTC $78,653.50 -0.32%
ETH $2,485.33 +1.17%
BNB $703.83 +1.18%
XRP $1.40 -2.27%
SOL $100.96 +4.38%
TRX $0.3343 -1.20%
DOGE $0.0867 +0.31%
ADA $0.2091 -0.50%
BCH $266.48 +0.31%
LINK $11.57 +2.05%
HYPE $81.15 -1.03%
AAVE $124.71 -2.25%
SUI $0.7489 -2.01%
XLM $0.1820 -0.71%
ZEC $778.61 -0.90%

中信证券:此轮美国经济步入衰退较难避免,明年发生衰退的风险较高

2022-08-26 12:38:10

链捕手消息,中信证券指出,经济领先指标、就业指标与美债期限利差指标对于美国经济衰退具有较好的预测意义,这些重要指标均预示了明年美国经济衰退风险很高,尤其是明年上半年。我们认为此轮美国经济步入衰退较难避免,明年发生衰退的风险较高,也不排除今年就步入衰退的可能性。此轮美债利率见顶时点或在停止加息时点前夕,随后美债利率预计面临较大的下行压力,即使美联储可能并没有立即转为降息。

app_icon
ChainCatcher Building the Web3 world with innovations.