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Polymarket 上贝莱德高管继任美联储主席的概率接近 50%,前理事 Kevin Warsh 的概率降至 28%

2026-01-26 11:33:12

ChainCatcher 消息,据 Polymarket 数据显示,关于美联储的继任者,贝莱德全球固定收益首席投资官 Rieder 的隐含概率为 47%,高于前美联储理事 Kevin Warsh 的 28%、现任美联储理事 Christopher Waller 的 9%,以及白宫国家经济顾问 Kevin Hassett 的 8%。

该事件的总交易量超过 2.5 亿美元,图表显示,Rieder 的定价曲线在 1 月加速上涨,并于 1 月 23 日超越竞争对手 Kevin Warsh。

Polymarket 上贝莱德高管继任美联储主席的概率接近 50%,前理事 Kevin Warsh 的概率降至 28%

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