Catcher Predict: "The U.S. announces a new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension until __?" "May 24" Winning rate soars by 16%

According to Catcher Predict monitoring, in the event "The U.S. announces a new Iran agreement/ceasefire extended to __?" on the prediction market Polymarket, the "Yes" option in the sub-market "May 24" experienced a sharp fluctuation in winning probability, soaring from 42.5% an hour ago to the current 58.5% (a fluctuation of 16%). Please note the impact of relevant breaking news.