Catcher Predict: "Will the U.S. announce a new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension on __?" "May 25" Winning rate plummeted by 15.5%

According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the event "Will the U.S. announce a new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension on __?" on the prediction market Polymarket, the "Yes" option in the sub-market "May 25" experienced a sharp fluctuation in winning probability, plummeting from 65% an hour ago to the current 49.5% (a fluctuation of 15.5%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.