Goldman Sachs: Waller's hawkish stance exacerbates volatility in the short end of the U.S. Treasury market

According to Jinshi reports, Kay Haigh of Goldman Sachs Asset Management stated that the "unequivocally hawkish" message from Walsh surprised the market, as it prioritized curbing inflation. The market believes that the probability of a rate hike by the Federal Reserve in September has exceeded 80%, and expects more than one rate hike in October. Haigh predicts that the volatility of 2-year Treasury bonds will significantly increase in the future, as the market refocuses on inflation issues, with the long end of the yield curve stabilizing. On Wednesday, the yield on 2-year U.S. Treasuries surged by 13 basis points, marking the largest increase since April 2025.