Bitwise CIO: After the STRC event, the importance of Strategy in the Bitcoin market may decrease

Bitwise Chief Investment Officer Matt Hougan published an analysis of the volatility of STRC under Strategy (MSTR). He believes that Strategy currently holds approximately $49.6 billion in Bitcoin and $2.6 billion in cash, with asset size far exceeding debt and preferred stock obligations, posing no liquidation risk. The company's newly launched digital credit capital framework allows it to flexibly sell Bitcoin to pay dividends based on market conditions, no longer forcing the maintenance of STRC at a par value of $100.

Hougan emphasized that Strategy has been the world's largest Bitcoin buyer and a source of one-way demand over the past few years, but this situation is likely coming to an end. In the future, Strategy will flexibly buy or sell Bitcoin based on market conditions, but will not become a large-scale seller (with limited mandatory sales each year). If Bitcoin prices rebound, it may still become a net buyer. Overall, the importance of Strategy in the next cycle will be lower than in the previous cycle.

He believes that the volatility of STRC reflects the process of deleveraging in the market, which is a typical characteristic at the end of a bull market. As these mismatched funds are squeezed out, the market bottom is forming, and a new bull market is expected to begin this fall.