Author of "The Bitcoin Standard": Bitcoin will fluctuate less than gold and have a larger scale

In a post on platform X, Saifedean Ammous, the author of the 2018 academic work "The Bitcoin Standard," stated that Bitcoin already possesses monetary functions. Holding Bitcoin is equivalent to using Bitcoin as currency. Its limited use as a payment method does not prove that its monetization process will not continue to advance. He believes that as Bitcoin matures, its volatility will be lower than that of gold, and its market capitalization will surpass that of this largest precious metal globally.

Ammous's viewpoint is a response to the relevant discussions in the work "Better Money: Gold, Fiat, or Bitcoin?" by American economist Lawrence H. White. White cited content from Chapter 6 of that book on platform X, stating that Bitcoin's supply is fixed and cannot respond to changes in demand, resulting in excessive price volatility, making it difficult to become the reliable medium of exchange that people need. This is also the reason why stablecoins have surpassed Bitcoin in trading volume.

Similar judgments have been made in the industry previously. In May 2025, André Dragosch, the European research director at Bitwise, told Cointelegraph that their internal forecast predicts Bitcoin will reach $1 million by 2029, at which point its market capitalization could be comparable to gold. However, Bitcoin's current market capitalization of approximately $1.6 trillion needs to grow at least 18 times to exceed gold's nearly $29 trillion market capitalization and become the largest asset in the world.