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cap

CAP may refer to various concepts in the cryptocurrency field, including Market Capitalization or the token symbol of certain specific projects. Market Capitalization is an important indicator for measuring the size of the cryptocurrency market, calculated by multiplying the number of tokens in circulation by the current price. It is used to assess the market size and influence of cryptocurrencies. If CAP is used as a token symbol, specific project background is needed to provide detailed information.
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QCP Capital: The current surge in Bitcoin is mainly driven by spot funds, but the current market structure still has vulnerabilities

QCP Capital released the latest market analysis stating that BTC has broken through the previous trading range of $82,500 to $85,700 that lasted for a week, reaching a high of $86,913 during the day, the highest since September 23. It is currently trading around $85,900, up 14.6% from the low of $74,968 on September 15. QCP pointed out that during this round of increase, the annualized funding rate for perpetual contracts was only 5.4%, indicating that the market was mainly driven by spot funds rather than leveraged trading. QCP believes that this round of BTC's rise diverges from traditional macro market signals. In September, the yield on the 30-year U.S. Treasury bond rose to 5.62%, and the 10-year yield reached 5.29% at one point, while gold recorded its worst month of the year. Although rising real interest rates typically put pressure on gold and risk assets, BTC still rose.QCP believes that this market trend is more consistent with concentrated capital trading driven by institutional fund inflows, regulatory catalysts, and technical improvements, rather than purely a currency depreciation trading logic. Regarding institutional funds and regulatory factors, the U.S. Bitcoin spot ETF recorded net inflows of approximately $3.5 billion and $2.6 billion in August and September, respectively. QCP noted that the innovative exemption policy released by the U.S. SEC on September 17 provided a new regulatory catalyst for the market, but since the CLARITY Act failed to pass in the Senate earlier, market structure legislation may be delayed until 2027. Therefore, current regulatory support comes more from the administrative level, and long-term policy certainty remains limited.In the options market, yesterday's options trading nominal amount was approximately $2.5 billion, involving 54 transactions with a nominal amount exceeding $5 million each. Among them, one client sold in batches call options expiring on October 30 with a strike price of $90,000, totaling over 4,000 contracts with a nominal amount of $346 million; at the same time, they actively bought call options with the same strike price expiring on November 27. QCP believes that this operation reflects that some traders are rolling their positions from October to November to position for the U.S. midterm elections, quarterly Treasury refinancing, and market volatility around the December Federal Reserve meeting.On the macroeconomic front, the Federal Reserve will hold a monetary policy meeting from October 27 to 28. QCP stated that after Federal Reserve official Williams said there was no need to rush to adjust policies further, and with the August core PCE coming in below expectations, market expectations for maintaining interest rates in October have warmed. However, the market still expects an approximately 80% probability of a 25 basis point rate hike in December. The U.S. non-farm payroll report for September, to be released tonight, will be an important short-term test, with the market expecting an increase in non-farm payrolls of 84,000 to 93,000, an unemployment rate holding at 4.1%, and an average hourly wage year-on-year growth rate expected to be 3%.On the technical front, the support level of $82,500 has been tested three times in the past week, while $87,400 is the location of the September high and is a key resistance for BTC to further challenge $90,000. The implied volatility term structure in the options market is in a contango state, with a 7-day implied volatility of 30.3 and a 90-day implied volatility of 37.1; the 30-day risk reversal indicator is approximately -2.5 volatility points, indicating an increase in demand for short-term put protection. QCP believes that although BTC shows resilience in a macro environment of rising real interest rates, the market is still mainly driven by capital flows and position changes, and it cannot yet be considered that macro risks have been eliminated. U.S. employment data, Treasury supply, and the intensive policy events in the coming weeks may still trigger market volatility.

first_img Senator Daines introduced the ADAPT Act, which exempts stablecoin payments from capital gains tax and introduces wash sale rules

U.S. Senator Steve Daines (Republican from Montana, member of the Senate Finance Committee) has officially introduced a 56-page digital asset tax bill, named the "Aligning Digital Assets with Tax Principles Act" (ADAPT Act). The bill aims to establish clearer tax rules for scenarios such as stablecoin payments, network fees, staking, and lending, and plans to extend existing tax rules like wash sales and constructive sales to apply to digital assets.The core provisions of the bill state that taxpayers generally do not need to recognize gains or losses when using compliant U.S. dollar stablecoins to purchase goods and services, while exempting brokers from information reporting obligations for qualifying consumer transactions; however, this exemption does not apply to traders and market makers. The bill also extends wash sale rules and constructive sale rules to digital assets, with compliant stablecoins excluded from the constructive sale provisions to limit loss harvesting behavior in crypto assets.Additionally, the bill proposes to exempt digital assets used to pay for network, transaction, or gas fees of $10 or less from gain or loss recognition and allows qualifying digital asset traders and dealers to choose to account for them at fair market value. The bill also stipulates rules for income sources from staking and mining, a non-recognition framework for digital asset lending, a safe harbor for foreign investors' transactions, and definitions for digital asset classifications; most provisions will apply to tax years or transactions after December 31, 2026. Previously, the U.S. House Ways and Means Committee passed its own "Digital Asset Tax Certainty Act" on September 16 by a vote of 38 to 5.

Institutional capital inflow coexists with market deleveraging, Gate continues to expand multi-asset trading capabilities

According to Gate's latest institutional weekly report, from September 21 to 27, the decline in oil prices and the easing of trade risks provided some support for U.S. stocks and crypto assets. However, the yield on the U.S. 10-year Treasury bond broke above 5%, and the high interest rate environment continues to put pressure on the valuations of risk assets. In terms of capital, the weekly net inflows for BTC and ETH ETFs were approximately $2.386 billion and $690 million, respectively, while the supply of stablecoins increased by about $1.59 billion, indicating a rebound in institutional capital and on-chain liquidity.The market trading structure remains differentiated. The weekly trading volume on Gate TradFi is about $100 billion, maintaining a high level overall; on-chain funds are further concentrated in structural opportunities such as USDC and SOL LST. In the derivatives sector, BTC rose 4.06% weekly, but the open interest across exchanges decreased by 12.81%, with funding rates turning negative temporarily, and options open interest significantly contracting, indicating signs of deleveraging in the market as prices rebound.Against the backdrop of continuous changes in capital flows and market structure, Gate institutions are continuously improving the multi-asset trading system, covering spot, contracts, stocks, ETFs, options, and other TradFi assets. They are also promoting API trading, cross-platform execution, and settlement collaboration based on infrastructures like OES and CrossEx, providing support for institutions to participate in cross-market trading and diversified asset allocation.

first_img Samsung Electronics executive: It is expected that HBM will account for nearly 30% of DRAM wafer production capacity next year

According to a report by the Financial Associated Press citing local media on September 29, Samsung Electronics Executive Vice President Kim Taewoo stated that HBM is expected to account for nearly 30% of the total wafer capacity of DRAM manufacturers next year, up from the current ratio of about 20%. He mentioned that HBM competes with traditional DRAM for the same batch of wafer capacity, and increasing HBM output may squeeze the supply of traditional DRAM.TrendForce previously predicted that by the end of 2027, the HBM wafer input from the three major global HBM suppliers will account for about 30% of the total DRAM wafer input, but in terms of storage capacity, it will only contribute about 13% of the total DRAM supply. Additionally, according to media reports on September 20, Samsung began mass production and shipment of HBM4 in February this year and provided 12-layer HBM4E samples to customers including NVIDIA in May; the industry expects Samsung's monthly wafer input for HBM to increase from about 180,000 wafers this year to about 250,000 wafers next year.On the same day, TrendForce stated that the demand for AI servers continues, and HBM and general DRAM will still share limited advanced process capacity. The storage supply will remain tight in 2027, and the price expectations for HBM in 2027 have been raised, with an expected year-on-year increase of 121% in the mixed average selling price. Due to limited supply and rising system costs, 8-layer HBM is expected to become a priority evaluation option for several manufacturers in 2027, with its price per Gb expected to be about 10% to 20% higher than that of 12-layer products.

first_img Anthropic: Zhipu GLM-5.3 has end-to-end network utilization capabilities

On September 29, 2026, the Anthropic Frontier Red Team published a research article authored by Andrew Fasano, Marius Fleischer, Cole McFaul, Robert Xiao, and Tripp Gallagher. The article states that about five months ago, Anthropic released the Claude Mythos Preview through Project Glasswing in a limited manner, as it can autonomously construct end-to-end exploit capabilities; trusted defenders discovered over 10,000 vulnerabilities in critical software based on this, and similar capabilities have now spread to other models.The article mentions that the GLM-5.3 developed by ZhiPu AI (known overseas as Z.ai) is similar to the Claude Mythos Preview, possessing strong autonomous end-to-end exploit development capabilities, but it is released with open weights and lacks meaningful abuse restrictions. In simulated tests, the success rate of bypassing GLM-5.3 defenses using simple methods was about 64% to 100%, while the same methods failed to make the protected Claude model perform harmful tasks; these capabilities can also be used by defenders to strengthen systems.On September 17, 2026, the National Institute of Standards and Technology's Artificial Intelligence Standards and Innovation Center assessed that GLM-5.3 is currently the most powerful open-weight model in terms of network capabilities, lagging behind the U.S. frontier by about four months in its network benchmarks, and Anthropic stated that the capability conclusions are generally consistent.
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