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According to Jinshi reports, Federal Reserve's Daly stated that the future path of interest rates will depend on the duration of the conflict; if the conflict ends quickly, policy will return to the previous path of interest rates.

Bloomberg senior ETF analyst Eric Balchunas posted on the X platform that BlackRock's spot Bitcoin exchange-traded fund IBIT has been rising almost daily for the past three weeks, increasing by about 3.5% again, and has accumulated a rise of about 19% since the market sell-off triggered by the conflict between the U.S. and Iran. As concerns about geopolitical impacts have eased, fund sentiment has clearly recovered, driving Bitcoin-related ETFs to continue strengthening.

According to Cointelegraph, during the US-Iran conflict, UAE investors chose to buy the dip in AI and digital assets rather than reducing their overall positions.eToro data shows that in the first quarter, UAE users increased their holdings in several software and AI infrastructure stocks that had significantly pulled back in price. eToro market analyst Josh Gilbert stated that the behavior of UAE investors is driven by long-term themes rather than risk aversion, with the most obvious signals appearing in the AI infrastructure and software sector—ServiceNow (+125%), Super Micro Computer (+65%), Adobe (+54%), and Oracle (+38%) all saw significant increases in holdings against a backdrop of market pressure.In terms of crypto assets, Strategy Inc. remains the eighth highest held stock by UAE investors, indicating a continued allocation to crypto-related assets. Deutsche Bank's report on April 13 indicated that this conflict is more likely to strengthen rather than weaken the region's demand for AI, cybersecurity, and sovereign digital infrastructure; however, it also cited reports that the Amazon Web Services data centers in the UAE and Bahrain have been attacked, and the planned 1GW Stargate park in Abu Dhabi is also under threat.The report also noted that sovereign wealth funds in the Gulf region manage approximately $5 trillion in assets by 2025, with Abu Dhabi-related institutions being one of the most active sources of funding in the global AI sector. Local crypto businesses in Dubai are operating normally. HashKey MENA Managing Director Ben El-Baz told Cointelegraph that business remains normal, relying on cloud trading and custody systems; Binance also confirmed that the vast majority of employees chose to stay, but the Token2049 Dubai event has been postponed to 2027.The Dubai Virtual Assets Regulatory Authority (VARA) continues to advance its activity-type regulatory framework. VARA Market Assurance Director Sean McHugh stated that during times of pressure, serious market participants seek the clearest regulatory environment rather than the most lenient jurisdictions.

According to Jinshi reports, the Federal Reserve pointed out in the Beige Book released on April 16 that economic activity in most regions of the United States continues to grow at a moderate to slight pace amid a new round of uncertainty triggered by the war in Iran and rising energy costs. Overall price increases remain moderate, but energy and fuel costs have risen significantly across all 12 Federal Reserve districts. The report indicates that the Middle East conflict is seen as a major source of uncertainty, increasing the complexity of businesses' decisions regarding hiring, pricing, and capital investment, with many businesses adopting a wait-and-see attitude. The data is as of April 6 and reflects the initial impact of the war on the U.S. economy.

Bitwise Asset Management points out that the recent strength of Bitcoin is not contrary to a risk-averse environment, but is directly driven by geopolitical conflicts. Since the escalation of the situation in the Middle East at the end of February, BTC has risen by about 12%, while the S&P 500 index has fallen by about 1% and gold has dropped by about 10%, showing a clear divergence in performance.Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan and research director Ryan Rasmussen state that Bitcoin is simultaneously embodying two logics: "store of value asset" and "potential international settlement currency." As the financial system becomes "weaponized" and the global payment system fractures, the appeal of non-sovereign neutral assets continues to rise. The report suggests that geopolitical fragmentation is prompting some countries to explore alternative paths to bypass the traditional financial system, such as attempting to introduce Bitcoin settlements in trade. This trend enhances BTC's potential position in the global monetary system. Based on the aforementioned changes, Bitwise indicates that the Bitcoin valuation framework is being reshaped; if it captures both store of value and transaction settlement demand, long-term price expectations may be underestimated, and $1 million could shift from a target ceiling to a "benchmark level."

According to Jinshi reports, Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda stated that in light of the Middle East conflict causing turmoil in financial markets, a cautious response is necessary.

According to market news, the UK Liberal Democrats have written to the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA), requesting an investigation into the relationship between Reform UK leader Nigel Farage and the Bitcoin company Stack BTC.The party questions whether Farage's appearance in the company's promotional video, while holding shares in Stack BTC, violates market rules and presents a conflict of interest. Stack BTC recently disclosed that it purchased 37 bitcoins as company reserves, valued at approximately $2.7 million, and Farage holds a 6.31% stake in Stack BTC through his media company. At the same time, the UK government is advancing a proposal to ban political donations in cryptocurrency to prevent external funding from interfering in elections. The FCA stated that it will review the relevant correspondence and respond.

According to Gate market data, U.S. stocks closed higher on Monday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average initially rising 0.6%, the S&P 500 index up 1%, and the Nasdaq up 1.2%. Both the S&P 500 index and the Nasdaq have recovered all losses since the outbreak of the recent U.S.-Israel conflict. Oracle (ORCL.N) rose 12.7%, SanDisk (SNDK.O) rose 11.8%, and Intel (INTC.O) rose over 4%. The Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index closed up 0.7%, with Baidu (BIDU.O) rising over 3%.

Agent Garrett Jin from "1011 Insider Whale" pointed out in an analysis that the U.S. announcement to implement a maritime blockade in the Strait of Hormuz is one of the "most tactically wise" moves in the current conflict, but it is unlikely to achieve the goal of ending the war. This strategy has two short-term advantages: first, it directly weakens Iran's crude oil export revenue by about 1.7 million barrels per day; second, compared to occupying key facilities (such as Khark Island), the cost of a maritime blockade is lower and the risks are more controllable.However, the effectiveness of this strategy faces multiple challenges. For example, the current blockade mainly targets Iranian ports rather than completely closing the strait, and third-party transshipment routes still exist. Additionally, it undermines the U.S.'s long-term international image of maintaining "freedom of navigation," which could have far-reaching effects on global maritime order.Garrett Jin concluded that while the blockade measures may reshape the initiative in the short term, they are unlikely to force Iran to make concessions and may instead compress diplomatic space and prolong the conflict cycle. The market has accounted for the impact of the blockade itself, but has not fully priced in the potential paths for escalation that may follow.

According to CoinDesk, documents submitted to the Federal Election Commission (FEC) by the Super Political Action Committee (Super PAC) Fellowship, which is associated with Tether, show that its first expenditure of $300,000 went to Nxum Group, a company co-founded by Tether's U.S. CEO, former Trump administration crypto advisor Bo Hines, along with his father Todd Hines and third-party partners.This expenditure was used to purchase campaign advertisements for Georgia Republican House candidate Clay Fuller, coinciding with Fuller winning a special election to replace Marjorie Taylor Greene as a congressman. Notably, Fellowship did not publicly announce this expenditure nor include Fuller in its public endorsement list.On April 1 of this year, Fellowship appointed Jesse Spiro, Tether's U.S. Vice President of Regulatory Affairs, as the committee chair, officially reactivating its presence in the political arena. When the committee was announced last year, it had received a total funding commitment of $100 million, but its FEC disclosure documents currently show a zero account balance, and related donations have not been made public. Tether International responded that there is no association or regulatory relationship with Fellowship PAC, while Tether U.S. declined to comment.In terms of conflicts of interest, Michael Beckel from the political reform organization Issue One stated that it is not illegal for Super PACs to pay founder-associated companies under U.S. campaign finance rules, provided that services are genuinely rendered and rates are in line with market prices. Fellowship's CFO Mitchell Nobel currently works at Cantor Fitzgerald, which manages Tether's global business assets, and its former chairman is current Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick.Currently, Fellowship's expenditure scale is still vastly different from that of the leading crypto industry Super PAC Fairshake. Fairshake has invested millions in several primary elections, while the candidates currently supported by Fellowship are almost all deep-red state Republicans.

According to CoinDesk, amid the ongoing geopolitical conflict between the U.S. and Iran for about six weeks, the Bitcoin market is clearly dividing into two camps: "passive buyers" represented by Strategy and spot ETFs continue to absorb chips, while whales, mining companies, and some sovereign holders are turning to reduce their holdings.The selling side is showing clear signs: whale addresses holding 1,000 to 10,000 BTC have shifted from net buying to significant net selling, with the change in holdings this year moving from approximately +200,000 coins to -188,000 coins; publicly listed mining companies are also concentrating on reducing their holdings under high cost pressure, with weekly sales exceeding 19,000 BTC. Additionally, sovereign holders like Bhutan have reduced their Bitcoin reserves by about 70% since October 2024.Analysis indicates that despite market sentiment once being in an extreme panic zone, Bitcoin prices have remained fluctuating in the range of $65,000 to $73,000, showing that the price "bottom" mainly relies on support from a few institutional buyers. The current market buyer base continues to narrow, and future trends will depend on whether institutional capital inflows can continue and break through key resistance zones.

Web3 wallet Zerion announced on the X platform that it has discovered abnormal activity on the platform, reminding users to temporarily refrain from using the web application services. Related services have been temporarily taken offline, but the iOS and Android applications, as well as the web extension, are safe. User funds within the wallet have not been affected, and the situation is being actively monitored. Users will be notified separately once the web application is restored.

Bitmine Chairman Tom Lee stated on the X platform that despite the overall market still exhibiting strong skepticism, more and more signs indicate that the current market "has found its bottom." In a highly uncertain environment, investors can focus on assets that have performed well since the Iran conflict, with Ethereum-related assets leading the way, followed by Bitcoin-related assets.Specifically, Tom Lee lists Ethereum and related assets (such as ETHA, BMNR) as his top choices, while also being optimistic about Bitcoin and its ETFs (such as IBIT). He previously emphasized that Ethereum has shown relative strength during geopolitical conflicts, becoming a "barometer" of market resilience.Overall, Tom Lee believes that cryptocurrencies have proven to be a "store of value in wartime," and the market has gradually digested negative factors, providing a basis for further rebounds in risk assets, but this still depends on the continued stability of macro and geopolitical situations.

According to CoinDesk, affected by the situation in the Middle East, Binance is offering its employees in the UAE the option to temporarily relocate to Hong Kong, Tokyo, Kuala Lumpur, and Bangkok.A Binance spokesperson stated, "In light of the recent regional tensions, we are providing our employees with the option for temporary relocation as a precautionary measure prioritizing employee welfare, to offer flexibility and support during uncertain times." The spokesperson also mentioned that many employees are currently choosing to stay in the UAE, and the company's operations in the UAE remain normal.It is reported that Binance has about 1,000 employees in the UAE, accounting for 20% of its global workforce, and the company's global operations are also supported from Abu Dhabi. This relocation proposal comes after the signing of a ceasefire agreement. The regional conflict, which lasted for about six weeks, has impacted business activities in the UAE. Since the outbreak of the conflict in late February, the UAE has intercepted hundreds of missiles and drones, with another interception occurring on April 8.The conflict in the Middle East has affected several cryptocurrency and major events in the UAE: the TOKEN2049 Dubai summit has been postponed to 2027, the TON Gateway has been canceled due to safety and travel concerns, the Middle East Energy Dubai Exhibition and the Dubai International Boat Show have been postponed, and the Bahrain and Saudi Arabia F1 events, which have sponsorship exposure value for the crypto industry, are also facing cancellation.

According to Xinhua News Agency, the Central Headquarters of the Iranian Armed Forces, Khatam al-Anbiya, issued a statement announcing victory in the 40-day resistance war against the United States and Israel, and stated that it is prepared to face a "more intense, longer, and broader war."The statement said that over the past 40 days, the Iranian Armed Forces have struck U.S. military bases in the Middle East and important military, security, and economic targets of the Israeli army, causing extremely heavy casualties and economic losses to the U.S. and Israel, with the initiative of the war completely out of U.S. and Israeli control. Ultimately, the U.S. and Israel "yielded" to the ceasefire conditions proposed by Iran. This proves that Iran has the capability to defeat the enemy on any level.

According to CCTV News, the White House stated on the 7th that both the United States and Israel agreed to a conditional two-week ceasefire with Iran. However, two former senior Israeli officials indicated that Israel believes it is too early for a ceasefire and hopes that military actions against Iran can continue for at least another month.

According to CCTV News, on April 8 local time, the Supreme National Security Council of Iran congratulated the Iranian people on their victory in a statement. The statement said that the United States has committed in principle to fulfill the following obligations:Guarantee no further military actions;Acknowledge Iran's continued control over the Strait of Hormuz;Accept Iran's uranium enrichment activities;Lift all primary and secondary sanctions against Iran;Terminate all relevant resolutions of the United Nations Security Council and the International Atomic Energy Agency Board;Compensate for the damages caused to Iran;Withdraw U.S. combat forces from the region;Cease all military actions on all fronts.

The "contract whale" (@Jason60704294) posted on social media that it is currently a good time to position in technology assets and cryptocurrency spot assets. He believes that in the context of geopolitical disturbances, high-quality assets often provide a low-entry window, rather than waiting to chase high prices after risks have dissipated.His core judgment is that the probability of further escalation of geopolitical conflicts is limited, so he has been gradually building positions over the past month and has set key risk levels around $67,500. He emphasized that investment should focus on trends and cycles, and there is no need to pursue an absolute bottom; it is sufficient to complete positioning at relatively low levels within the cycle. With limited time and understanding, one should grasp a few key decisions.