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Blockstream CEO: The inflow of institutional funds into Bitcoin is slower than expected, and building positions may take 12 to 18 months

Some observers view Morgan Stanley's entry into the U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF earlier this month as a catalyst to end the current crypto bear market, citing the large distribution capability of the Wall Street giant's $8 trillion wealth advisory network. However, Blockstream CEO and early Bitcoin community contributor Adam Back stated that "it won't happen that quickly."Back was recently speculated by The New York Times to be the anonymous Bitcoin creator Satoshi Nakamoto, which he denied. Back indicated that from a positive market signal perspective, the Bitcoin ETF could be the most significant development in recent times, even more important than a pro-crypto U.S. government, but this process is slower than most people realize.Back stated, "I think one thing people might be miscalculating is that institutional adoption is very slow. So the ETF has been bought, but when BlackRock suggested allocating 2% to 4% in its general stock portfolio, fund managers had not done that yet. They will, but slower than people expect." He mentioned that investors will not rush in overnight, and the accumulation process could take a year or even 18 months.Regarding prices, Back noted that the cyclical nature of Bitcoin's four-year halving cycle needs to be considered. He pointed out that even if some commentators believe the four-year cycle is breaking down, "people expect it to happen, so they sell to make it actually happen," and a decline could still occur. This logic will only change when people see the market strengthen, which is currently manifesting in the form of institutional capital inflows.Back stated that regarding recent comments about the accelerated development of quantum computing hardware potentially threatening Bitcoin's cryptography, institutions are more systematic in risk management and will focus on tail risks, while retail investors view it as a distant future risk.

Bitcoin ETF ends nine consecutive days of net inflow, market turns cautious ahead of the Federal Reserve FOMC meeting

Bitcoin fell below $77,000, with the U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF recording a net outflow of $263.2 million, ending a nine-day streak of net inflows. This coincided with the eve of this week's Federal Reserve FOMC meeting, adding a touch of caution to the already resilient April rebound.Bitcoin declined today, but it has still risen about 15% over the past month, reaching a high of $79,000 in April. The interruption of ETF fund momentum is significant because it occurs just before a week of major macroeconomic events. The market is currently digesting the Federal Reserve's decisions, new inflation concerns, GDP data, a series of earnings reports from major tech companies, and another round of interest rate decisions from central banks in Europe and Asia.Timothy Misir, head of research at BRN, stated that the crypto market entered this week with inspiring momentum, but there are too many cross factors to determine a clean risk appetite trend. In his view, investors are showing signs of "war fatigue" regarding the situation in the Middle East, while central banks are forced to find a balance between supply-driven inflation and weakening confidence along with mixed data.Glassnode expressed a similar view in its latest weekly pulse report. Analysts noted that Bitcoin still exhibits a "mix of bullish momentum, cautious sentiment, and consolidation," with strong buying pressure offset by weaker speculative participation and lower trading activity.QCP Capital stated that Bitcoin had a significant rebound in April, maintaining an overall constructive pattern. However, the firm believes that $82,000 remains a key level, with the nearby CME gap constituting the next real test.Andy Baehr, managing director at GSR Asset Management, mentioned that prices are "gradually rising," and $80,000 remains a key psychological level.
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