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SOL $83.43 +1.33%
TRX $0.3222 +2.20%
DOGE $0.0927 +2.04%
ADA $0.2458 +0.32%
BCH $454.16 -5.96%
LINK $8.65 +1.72%
HYPE $38.20 -4.17%
AAVE $97.76 +1.23%
SUI $0.8711 +0.54%
XLM $0.1686 +0.46%
ZEC $224.95 +3.30%

kt

Analysis: Bitcoin is trapped in a narrow range of fluctuations, with macro liquidity constrained, and the market is waiting for a directional breakthrough

Bitcoin is currently maintaining a range-bound oscillation pattern. Under the multiple pressures of the macro environment, market liquidity continues to be constrained, and the price direction remains unclear. Analysis indicates that the interplay of energy prices, monetary policy, and geopolitical risks has led to a compression of liquidity, causing the market to enter a "wait-and-see period." The current market is not lacking in structure but rather in incremental funds.Recently, Bitcoin has stabilized after experiencing volatility, with selling pressure easing somewhat, while ETF fund flows have shown a slight net inflow. However, spot demand remains weak, and the imbalance between supply and demand limits price breakthroughs. From a technical perspective, Bitcoin has found support in the $67,000-$69,000 range, with a key resistance level forming around $72,000. Analysts state that there is a "liquidity gap" above this range, and once effectively broken, the price could quickly rise to the $82,000 area; however, until demand shows significant improvement, the market will continue to maintain an oscillating pattern.On the macro level, high energy prices, global central banks maintaining high interest rates, and uncertainties in the Middle East collectively exacerbate market concerns about "stagflation" risks. Kraken Research points out that the combination of slowing growth and inflationary pressures complicates the policy path and suppresses the performance of risk assets. Against this backdrop, the market has entered a "liquidity compression phase."Bitunix analysis suggests that the mismatch of multiple macro factors has compressed funds into a narrow range, with Bitcoin acting more as a risk appetite indicator rather than a trend trading target. In terms of funds, the March spot Bitcoin ETF recorded a net inflow of approximately $1.5 billion, an improvement from the net outflow in February, but still below January levels, indicating cautious institutional fund inflows. The derivatives market is leaning defensive, with funding rates remaining negative and high demand for downside protection; meanwhile, spot trading volume has not shown sustained growth, indicating limited market participation. Overall, Bitcoin has not yet formed a clear breakthrough or downward trend, and is currently closer to a "accumulation and consolidation" phase, with future movements still dependent on macro data, policy signals, and changes in geopolitical situations.

ACXP has been approved for a $10 million cryptocurrency purchase limit, ENFN has launched a 10% cash allocation, and BKKT's custody volume has surged by 40%

According to BBX data, yesterday global listed companies made breakthrough progress in the fields of "financial diversification" and "compliance custody," with the core data as follows:$10 million cryptocurrency purchase plan: Acurx Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ: $ACXP) board officially approved the allocation of $10 million for the purchase of Bitcoin yesterday. As a biopharmaceutical company, ACXP clearly stated that this move aims to leverage the anti-inflation properties of BTC to hedge against the depreciation risk of long-term R&D funding.10% cash asset allocation: Enfusion (NYSE: $ENFN) announced an update to its financial guidelines, planning to allocate 10% of redundant cash on its balance sheet in batches to BTC and ETH. This financial software giant plans to use crypto assets to enhance the overall risk-adjusted return of its treasury.$5 million increase: Nature's Miracle (NASDAQ: $NMHI) confirmed the launch of its first $5 million Bitcoin strategic treasury plan yesterday, marking the formal acceptance of crypto assets as reserve currency by companies in the agricultural technology sector.40% custody growth: Bakkt (NYSE: $BKKT) Q4 forecast data shows that its enterprise-level crypto asset custody scale has increased by 40% year-on-year. This reflects a significant increase in the reliance of non-native crypto companies on compliant third-party custody institutions when entering the market to purchase cryptocurrencies.

Analysis: Bitcoin buying pressure is returning, and a breakthrough above $78,000 is needed to reverse the downward trend

According to Cointelegraph, CryptoQuant data shows that as the demand for Bitcoin derivatives rebounds, the net buying volume of Bitcoin indicates that buyers are entering the market. Net buying volume is an indicator of the imbalance of power between active buyers and sellers in the derivatives market, and it has remained positive since the outbreak of the US/Iran war. This positive trend aligns with Bitcoin's recent price rebound to $74,000, indicating that demand in the derivatives market has returned.Coinbureau CEO Nic added, "This shows that the buying volume has surpassed the selling volume, and buyers are taking control of the market." TradingView data shows that Bitcoin has consolidated in the $62,000 to $72,000 range for over four weeks, with multiple attempts to break through $70,000 failing. From a broader perspective, the BTC price remains between the realized price (the average purchase cost of all circulating supply at $54,400) and the real market average price (the cost basis of actively traded coins at $78,000).Glassnode stated, "In the absence of broader macro headwinds, this range may support a bear market relief rally, with its upper limit constrained by the real market average price."Charts show that BTC prices have spent most of 2023 between these two cost levels, with relief rallies repeatedly stalling near the real market average price. Ultimately, in October 2023, with the announcement of the approval of the US spot Bitcoin ETF, the price broke through.Crypto trader and analyst Titan stated that if the BTC price breaks through the $78,000--$80,000 range, it could signal a change in the long-term trend.

Analysis: Kraken's approval for a Federal Reserve master account is a historic breakthrough for the cryptocurrency industry and may trigger a wave of applications from crypto institutions

Crypto journalist Eleanor Terrett posted on social media that Kraken, the second-largest crypto exchange in the U.S., has just accomplished something no other crypto company has done before—obtaining key access qualifications from the Federal Reserve.Kraken's banking division, Kraken Financial, has received approval from the Kansas City Fed to open a master account with the Federal Reserve. This marks the first time a native crypto company has gained (albeit with limited permissions) direct access to the Federal Reserve's payment system.This approval comes five and a half years after Kraken submitted its application to the Kansas City Fed in October 2020. The account allows Kraken to directly access the Federal Reserve's payment system, but does not include the right to use the Fed's lending tools. The company can hold reserves and settle with central bank funds, but cannot issue loans, use the discount window, or operate as a traditional commercial bank.According to sources, Kraken's approval is seen as a pilot project to test this new model. This decision is historically significant for the crypto industry, which has long been excluded from the traditional banking system, and indicates a shift in the Federal Reserve's stance. This move could trigger a wave of applications from other crypto companies seeking master accounts with the Federal Reserve. Custodia Bank, Anchorage, and Ripple's U.S. banking partner have all applied for master accounts.

The Democratic Party is willing to return to the negotiating table, and there is a breakthrough in the Senate Agriculture Committee's discussions on cryptocurrency legislation

After setbacks in negotiations over cryptocurrency market legislation in the Senate Agriculture Committee, a Democratic senator's aide stated that the Democratic side is still willing to return to the negotiating table to push for a bipartisan compromise.The aide revealed that at the beginning of the new year, Democratic members were "caught off guard" during the negotiations, as the Republican side drafted a new version of the bill without sufficient consultation and originally planned to move directly into the markup process in mid-January. In response, the Democratic side hopes to re-engage with the committee chair, Republican Senator John Boozman's team, before a vote this week to strive for a bipartisan consensus.The Senate Agriculture Committee was originally scheduled to hold a markup and voting session on cryptocurrency legislation this Tuesday, but it has been postponed to Thursday due to severe weather in Washington. Meanwhile, some Democratic lawmakers are actively pushing to restart negotiations to reach a bipartisan-approved text before the hearing.The cryptocurrency market structure bill aims to establish a federal regulatory framework for digital assets, including clarifying the regulatory division between the SEC and CFTC, as well as related disclosure requirements. Analysts point out that, given that both the Senate Banking Committee and the Agriculture Committee need to advance their respective versions of the bill, bipartisan cooperation remains a key prerequisite for the smooth progress of the legislation.

Democratic aides express willingness to return to the negotiating table, Senate Agriculture Committee's cryptocurrency legislation discussions see a breakthrough

According to reports, after negotiations on cryptocurrency market legislation hit a snag in the Senate Agriculture Committee, a Democratic senator's aide stated that the Democratic side is still willing to return to the negotiating table to push for a bipartisan compromise.The aide revealed that at the beginning of the new year, Democratic members were "caught off guard" during the negotiations, as the Republican side drafted a new version of the bill without sufficient consultation and originally planned to move directly into the review process this week. In response, the Democratic side hopes to re-engage with the committee chair, Republican Senator John Boozman's team, before the vote this week to seek a bipartisan consensus.The Senate Agriculture Committee was originally scheduled to hold a markup and voting session on cryptocurrency legislation this Tuesday, but it has been postponed to Thursday due to severe weather in Washington. Meanwhile, some Democratic lawmakers are actively pushing to restart negotiations to reach a bipartisan-approved text before the hearing.The cryptocurrency market structure bill aims to establish a federal-level regulatory framework for digital assets, including clarifying the regulatory division of responsibilities between the SEC and CFTC, as well as related disclosure requirements. Analysts point out that, given that both the Senate Banking Committee and the Agriculture Committee need to advance their respective versions of the bill, bipartisan cooperation remains a key prerequisite for the smooth progress of the legislation.
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