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ETH $1,573.42 -10.92%
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XRP $1.09 -6.29%
SOL $63.18 -7.88%
TRX $0.3197 -3.67%
DOGE $0.0808 -8.35%
ADA $0.1559 -13.26%
BCH $208.81 -14.54%
LINK $7.31 -8.58%
HYPE $59.18 -8.18%
AAVE $62.14 -12.68%
SUI $0.6963 -8.84%
XLM $0.2013 +0.02%
ZEC $384.72 -15.13%

liquidity

Wintermute enters the prediction market making, expanding into event contract liquidity

According to The Block, quantitative market maker Wintermute has announced its entry into the prediction market sector, providing two-way quote liquidity services for several mainstream event contract platforms, marking the official expansion of its trading infrastructure into the emerging market at the intersection of crypto and traditional assets.The company stated that it has been continuously providing buy and sell bilateral quotes on multiple "leading platforms," with the total monthly trading volume of these prediction markets exceeding $20 billion this year, indicating that this sector is growing rapidly but still in the early stages of liquidity. Wintermute's annual trading volume exceeds $3.5 trillion, and this expansion further strengthens its cross-asset market-making capabilities.Jake Ostrovskis, head of OTC trading at the company, stated that prediction markets have a demand structure similar to traditional major asset classes, but liquidity is still insufficient, requiring continuous bilateral quotes to enhance price discovery efficiency and trading depth. He pointed out that tighter spreads and greater trading capacity will improve the quality of market probability signals.In the industry, institutions such as Jump Trading and Galaxy Digital have also entered this field, with some platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi having a cumulative trading volume exceeding $150 billion. Analysts believe that Wintermute's entry further promotes the integration of prediction markets and crypto infrastructure, especially in terms of stablecoin settlement, on-chain clearing, and risk management systems, as these markets gradually approach a derivatives-level institutional development structure.

Analysis: Over the past 30 days, more than 100,000 BTC flowed into trading platforms while stablecoins accelerated outflow, increasing market selling pressure

Cryptocurrency analyst Axel Adler Jr. stated that the inflow of BTC to trading platforms and the outflow of stablecoins from trading platforms simultaneously release a "risk aversion" signal, indicating that selling pressure in the market is increasing. Data shows that the net inflow of BTC to trading platforms over the past 30 days has shifted from an extreme net outflow of 300,000 BTC at the end of March to an inflow of 103,000 BTC, meaning more BTC is being reintroduced to trading platforms in preparation for sale. During the same period, the price of BTC dropped from $80,000 to $73,700.Meanwhile, stablecoins are flowing out of centralized trading platforms at a record pace. The average net flow of stablecoins over the past 30 days has shifted from an inflow of $164 million per day at the end of April to an outflow of $153 million per day. This indicates that the liquidity available for purchasing BTC in the market is decreasing. Axel Adler Jr. pointed out that when BTC flows into exchanges while stablecoins simultaneously flow out of trading platforms, it creates an unfavorable structure of "increased supply and decreased demand," which is a typical risk aversion market condition.He believes that if the net inflow of BTC continues to exceed +100,000 BTC, the market may face a deeper correction; while stable signals would include BTC turning back to a net outflow or stablecoins flowing back into trading platforms.

Bitget launches the RWA protocol Reality, directly connecting to US stock liquidity and supporting dividend distribution

Bitget announced the launch of a licensed financial protocol called Reality, focused on the tokenization of real-world assets (RWA). The issued tokenized stocks (rTokens) are strictly pegged 1:1 to the underlying U.S. stocks, with assets held by a FINRA-registered, SIPC-protected U.S. brokerage, and real-time reserve proof provided through third-party independent audits. By directly accessing liquidity pools of U.S. stocks such as Nasdaq and NYSE, Reality's stock tokens can achieve liquidity on par with traditional brokers; at the same time, stock dividends will be distributed to user accounts in token form 1:1, while cash dividends will be automatically converted and issued as USDT. Stock splits and mergers will also be reflected in real-time on-chain tokens, closely aligning with the experience of holding U.S. stocks.In addition, the U.S. stock tokens launched by Reality are deeply integrated into the Bitget ecosystem, serving as margin for unified accounts and compatible with core product lines such as grid trading, signal following systems, and staking and lending.Bitget CEO Gracy Chen previously proposed the "10% vision": currently, tokenized stocks account for only 0.1% of the $125 trillion global stock market, and she predicts that this proportion will rise to nearly 10% by 2030. Reality is built on this trend, initially focusing on U.S. stocks, with plans to expand asset classes in the future, promoting Bitget's UEX strategy to extend to a broader global financial asset access layer.
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