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liquidity

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HTX Research Analyst WZ: The pricing of the cryptocurrency market is extending outward, with regulation and macro liquidity becoming key variables

In the seventh live broadcast of the Huobi Expert Lecture, HTX Research asset analyst WZ pointed out that in the past, people were accustomed to explaining Crypto with Crypto, but today, the variables that determine the next phase of Crypto are increasingly occurring outside of Crypto. This marks a new pricing cycle that Crypto is entering.On the policy level, WZ believes that although the Clarity Act, which has systematic characteristics, is hindered in the Senate due to the need to secure bipartisan votes and issues involving the Trump family's interests and stablecoin profit distribution, U.S. crypto regulation has not stalled. For instance, the SEC recently released an "innovation exemption" plan that allows compliant institutions meeting certain conditions to tokenize specific stocks, accelerating the integration of traditional finance and crypto.On the macro level, WZ stated that the situation in the Middle East and the blockage risk in the Strait of Hormuz have raised the "risk premium" of crude oil. Rising oil prices can trigger inflation expectations, which in turn affect U.S. Treasury yields and global liquidity. When energy prices remain high and interest rates stay elevated, the upward potential for risk assets like Bitcoin may be constrained.WZ also pointed out that in this cycle, the direct inflow and outflow of ETF funds have changed the traditional logic of capital overflow, making a "general rise" pattern for altcoins difficult to achieve. However, in the new cycle, assets with a "new narrative" and strong consensus will still experience independent upward trends.

U.S. SEC Commissioner "Six Questions" on U.S. Stocks 23*5 Trading: Calls for Attention to Issues such as Liquidity and Information Disclosure

Hester M. Peirce, a commissioner of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), stated that the U.S. stock market is gradually forming a trading model of "23 hours, 5 days a week" for extended trading hours. Although overnight trading currently accounts for less than 1% of the total trading volume of NMS stocks and is highly concentrated in a few stocks, both new and established trading venues have been actively extending their operating hours over the past two years, while raising six key questions:How should the U.S. stock market learn from the experiences of the long-established foreign exchange, cryptocurrency, and futures markets?How can brokers fulfill their best execution obligations and enhance retail investor protection when overnight liquidity is dispersed and spreads widen?When overnight liquidity is insufficient and execution costs are high, is it still a reasonable fiduciary decision for asset management institutions to choose not to engage in overnight trading?Will extending trading hours change the way listed companies release financial reports and significant information?Given that EDGAR filings submitted after 5:30 PM Eastern Time are typically processed on the next business day, does the SEC need to adjust the EDGAR system to ensure timely disclosure of significant information during the overnight trading period?Should the SEC provide relevant guidance or regulatory exemptions for listed companies, especially smaller ones?

European Securities and Markets Authority report: Tokenized stocks may lead to liquidity fragmentation

According to Ledger Insights, the European Securities and Markets Authority (ESMA) recently published the "Trends, Risks, and Vulnerabilities Report for the First Half of 2026," in which digital assets and prediction markets occupy three chapters. Regarding crypto assets, the report warns that the increasing ties between cryptocurrencies and the traditional financial sector pose risks. Concerning tokenization, the report points out that issuing different tokenized versions of the same stock may lead to fragmented liquidity.As for prediction markets, the report believes that prediction markets have not yet seen significant development in Europe. This is because major platforms do not yet hold EU licenses, and in most cases, they need to obtain licenses. The European Securities and Markets Authority (ESMA) outlines some potential advantages of tokenization, including increased efficiency, expanded investor access, programmability, and atomic settlement. On the other hand, ESMA also questions how much these advantages are actually realized within these encapsulated structures.Since the ownership of the underlying stocks is off-chain, there is no single data source on-chain, and self-custody can only be achieved indirectly through these structures. Tokenization structures also introduce additional layers of intermediaries, leading to complexity and risk. The settlement advantages are also difficult to realize. Even if token transfers occur on-chain, the cash portion of the transaction is usually settled separately, whether through bank payments or other channels. This means that for certain transactions, the promised atomic settlement (i.e., simultaneous delivery of securities and cash) has not yet been achieved.
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