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As the first centralized exchange (CEX) to connect with Polymarket, Gate's data shows that in the prediction event "How will the Federal Reserve's April interest rate decision change?", the market estimates the probability of interest rates remaining unchanged at a high of 99%. Currently, the overall sentiment in the macro market is cautious, with most participants expecting to maintain a wait-and-see stance in this month's meeting, awaiting more economic data guidance. Keeping interest rates unchanged helps stabilize market liquidity and risk appetite, and various assets, including stock indices and commodities, are expected to attract investor interest. Gate has a comprehensive layout of traditional asset categories, covering the widest range in the network.In addition, users can directly access the prediction market through the Gate App, entering the Polymarket page from the platform's homepage Alpha and using USDT in their exchange account to participate in event predictions. This integration marks a key step for Gate in the fusion of the crypto trading ecosystem and prediction markets, also bringing users a more open and diverse market participation experience.

According to The Block, the total amount of bets related to the 2026 elections on the Polymarket platform has exceeded $2 billion. With the elections in Hungary and Peru approaching, the betting volume in April has significantly increased; the share of bets from non-U.S. markets has risen significantly and now accounts for a majority.The Block points out that election prediction markets are no longer exclusive to the United States and are gradually becoming a global phenomenon.

Gate, as the first centralized exchange to connect to Polymarket, shows that the probability of a closing market value forecast of over $2 trillion for the SpaceX IPO is about 46%, making it the highest probability option currently.It is reported that Gate has launched the first phase of the Pre-IPOs project, SpaceX (SPCX). The subscription for this phase of SpaceX (SPCX) will be open from April 20, 2026, 18:00 to April 22, 18:00 (UTC+8), supporting participation in both USDT and GUSD. After the subscription is completed, the SPCX asset certificates are expected to be distributed before April 22, 22:00 (UTC+8) and will enter pre-market trading in a 100% unlocked form, with pre-market trading starting at April 24, 18:00 (UTC+8). The total subscription amount is 33,900 SPCX, with a total value of approximately $20.01 million, a unit price of $590, corresponding to an implied valuation of about $1.4 trillion.In terms of participation mechanism, Gate Pre-IPOs adopts "average locked amount per hour" for allocation, emphasizing early participation weight. The minimum participation threshold is 100 USDT, and no handling or custody fees are charged. Gate Pre-IPOs will continue to focus on early participation opportunities for high-quality projects before listing, providing users with a new entry point to access global quality assets.

Polymarket's latest data shows that the market bets on the probability of BTC reaching $80,000 before May 1 of this year is 32%, the probability of reaching $85,000 is 8%, and the probability of falling to $65,000 is 22%.

Polygon officially launched the native liquid staking token sPOL, aimed at enhancing the earnings of POL token stakers.As Polygon's native liquid staking token, sPOL will unlock approximately 3.6 billion staked POL and provide stakers with priority trading fee sharing. Currently, only about 4% - 5% of POL is in a liquid state, and sPOL will improve the situation where idle capital cannot participate in DeFi earnings. Users can migrate their existing stakes to sPOL through the Polygon Staking Portal without waiting, and rewards will not be interrupted; new stakes will automatically receive sPOL.The initial exchange ratio of sPOL is 1:1, increasing as staking rewards accumulate. sPOL supports liquidity provision, collateralization, and DeFi strategy yield stacking, and can be redeemed back to POL and accumulated rewards at any time. The first batch was launched by Polygon Labs and audited by ChainSecurity and Certora, with initial liquidity injected from the official fund pool. The official reminder states that sPOL carries risks of smart contract vulnerabilities, validator behavior penalties, and market volatility risks.

According to Theblock citing The Information, Polymarket has launched an audit targeting application startups that promise to help users track suspected insider trading activities.The report states that these copy trading applications provide customers with a list of traders on the Polymarket platform who have a good track record of profitability, or highlight some unusually large or oddly timed bets that may be based on confidential information. Customers can use bots to replicate these trades or receive notifications of seemingly good trades. These applications charge service fees.It is reported that Polymarket and its main competitor Kalshi have both been scrutinized for insider trading issues. Last month, Polymarket introduced clearer rules regarding insider trading and its enforcement.

The crypto financial services company Nava, which prevents inappropriate behavior of AI agents, announced the completion of an $8.3 million seed round financing, co-led by Polychain and Archetype.It is reported that the company's method to prevent inappropriate behavior of AI agents is to create a custodial service that holds funds until the agent proposes a transaction. Once the agent proposes a transaction, Nava will use a validation framework to determine whether the transaction outcome aligns with the user's intent. If the transaction passes validation, it will be executed; otherwise, the funds will remain in the custodial account, and the reasons for accepting or rejecting any transaction will be recorded on the blockchain, thereby creating a public decision ledger that can be referenced.

The prediction market platform Polymarket has launched a bug bounty program on the Cantina platform with a maximum reward of $5 million. The program covers the entire technology stack, including 18 smart contracts on Polygon (V1/V2 CTFExchange and NegRisk versions, fee modules, conditional token frameworks, pUSD collateral wrapping/unwrapping systems, UMA oracle adapter, etc.), web applications, and related infrastructure (key web vulnerabilities such as remote code execution, sensitive data leakage, subdomain takeover involving wallet interaction, and malicious transaction injection are all eligible for the highest reward level).The maximum reward for smart contract-related vulnerabilities is $5 million, while the maximum reward for web application-related vulnerabilities is $250,000. The program is now officially open for submissions.

According to DefiLlama data, the net inflow of funds for Ethereum cross-chain bridges in the past 7 days reached $11.112 billion, ranking first among all public chains. Following are Solana and Polygon, with net inflows of $497 million and $397 million, respectively.Base, Plasma, Ink, Avalanche, Arbitrum, and Tron also experienced varying degrees of net inflow, amounting to $275 million, $214 million, $165 million, $157 million, $126 million, and $54 million, respectively.

According to a Caixin article titled "Financial Innovation or Insider Trading: The Rise and Controversy of Polymarket," it points out that when insider information can be openly monetized, the boundaries of prediction markets have become blurred. Is this "gambling" disguised in financial clothing, or even suspected insider trading? However, regardless of the legal debate over whether it is gambling, the fact that Polymarket uses USDC stablecoin for settlement and delivery poses a significant legal risk for participants within China.Previously, U.S. Senators Merkley and Klobuchar proposed the "End Prediction Market Corruption Act," which prohibits the President, Vice President, and members of Congress from trading on prediction markets, and requires the prediction market trading activities of their spouses and dependent children to be included in annual financial disclosures.

Since late October last year, the total trading volume of the Japanese compliant stablecoin JPYC has reached 137 million USD, with Polygon dominating at 66% with 90.4 million USD, followed by Avalanche and Ethereum at 26.4 million and 19.7 million USD, respectively.The founder of Polygon confirmed that Japanese physical stores have supported offline payments with JPYC on the Polygon network.

According to The Information, Polygon Labs is seeking up to $100 million in funding for its payment business expansion.

According to Chainwire, Polymarket has announced the completion of its acquisition of the DeFi infrastructure company Brahma. Brahma was co-founded by Alessandro Tenconi, Akanshu Jain, and Bapireddy Karri, and its team will continue to play key roles in infrastructure, protocol design, and product integration.This integration aims to enhance the trading reliability, execution speed, and capital efficiency of the Polymarket platform, while lowering the entry barrier for new users and improving interoperability across blockchain networks.

According to the official announcement, Binance is expected to suspend token deposits and withdrawals for the Polygon (POL) network on April 8, 2026, at 21:00 (UTC+8) to support its network upgrade and hard fork.The project team will carry out the network upgrade and hard fork at block height 85,268,500 (expected on April 8, 2026, at 22:00 UTC+8).

A Polymarket trader increased approximately $13,000 in funds to about $475,000 by betting on a ceasefire event between the United States and Iran, achieving a return of over 3500%.

The prediction market Polymarket collected approximately $7.1 million in trading fees in the first week of the second quarter, becoming one of the most profitable protocols in DeFi. If this pace continues, its annual trading fee revenue could reach about $365 million, potentially capturing 96.8% of the trading fee share in on-chain prediction markets.Analysis suggests that this growth stems from the pricing reform on March 30, maintaining daily trading fee levels at around $1 million, with trading activity remaining high. According to DeFiLlama data, Polymarket's total value locked (TVL) has reached $432 million, nearing the peak during the 2024 U.S. presidential election.In terms of mainstream partnerships, the Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) completed a $600 million cash investment on March 27, as part of a larger $2 billion commitment, to distribute Polymarket's event-driven data to institutional clients. The platform also replaced the USDC.e collateral on Polygon with a brand new 1:1 USDC-backed token, Polymarket USD, as a trading collateral asset.Despite rapid revenue growth, regulatory risks remain. Some U.S. states, as well as countries or regions like Hungary, Portugal, and Argentina, have imposed restrictions or bans on prediction markets, citing that Polymarket is viewed as an unlicensed gambling platform.

Defillama founder 0xngmi mentioned that "Polymarket will launch its native stablecoin Polymarket USD," stating that there is a total of approximately $1.25 billion in Polymarket user wallets, and if the platform is willing to retain interest income, it will generate $54 million in interest income annually at the current interest rate.

According to The Defiant, independent on-chain analyst Andrey Sergeenkov's latest research found that 84.1% of traders on Polymarket are in a losing position.The report analyzed 2.5 million wallet addresses, and Sergeenkov discovered that over the past year, only 2% of traders on the platform have accumulated profits exceeding $1,000, while only 0.033% (i.e., 840 addresses) of traders have made profits of $100,000 on the Polymarket platform."Most traders just come to trade for a while and then leave," the report concluded. The research found that the probability of making $5,000 in profit per month decreases month by month. Among 6,600 traders who averaged over $5,000 in monthly profits, only 2.6% remained active for more than a year.

According to Alex Data, the total trading volume of the Japanese stablecoin JPYC has reached 136 million USD, of which 90 million USD was processed through the Polygon network. JPYC has a wide range of use cases on Polygon, primarily for payment services on platforms such as Tria, Daimo, and CurrencyCompetition.

According to official news from the Polygon Foundation, the Giugliano hard fork upgrade will take place around 22:00 on April 8 at block height 85,268,500 on the Polygon mainnet.This upgrade will bring the following improvements: allowing producers to announce blocks earlier for faster finality; directly adding fee parameters to the block header; introducing new RPC interfaces to support fee data.The official reminds all node operators that they must upgrade Bor to version v2.7.0 or upgrade Erigon to version v3.5.0 to ensure normal operation.