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BTC $61,422.87 -1.48%
ETH $1,587.23 -4.56%
BNB $581.78 -0.87%
XRP $1.10 -1.57%
SOL $63.32 -2.88%
TRX $0.3196 -1.48%
DOGE $0.0822 -1.47%
ADA $0.1593 -0.14%
BCH $224.63 +0.94%
LINK $7.44 -0.91%
HYPE $60.29 -1.56%
AAVE $62.04 -8.46%
SUI $0.7110 +1.94%
XLM $0.2041 +7.26%
ZEC $373.16 +19.84%

point72

Point72 founder: U.S. stocks may face significant adjustments, expecting U.S. economic growth to slow to 1.5% in the second half of the year

ChainCatcher news, billionaire hedge fund founder Steve Cohen, founder of Point72, stated during a speech in Miami that U.S. stocks may experience a significant adjustment due to the policies of the Trump administration. Cohen expects that in the second half of 2025, the growth rate of the U.S. economy will slow from 2.5% to 1.5%, marking "the first time in a while that I feel very negative."Cohen pointed out that the tariff policies of the Trump administration are essentially a form of taxation, which could provoke international trade retaliation; at the same time, immigration restrictions will affect labor force growth, and the anti-corruption initiatives of the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) are essentially contractionary policies. These factors combined will have a negative impact on the economy. Against the backdrop of the S&P 500 index rising over 50% since the beginning of 2023 and Nvidia's increase of 800%, current market valuations are at historical highs, with most investors, including hedge funds and retail investors, holding near-maximum positions, leading to significant downside risks in the market.It is reported that Point72 is known as "Wall Street's craziest money-making machine," and Cohen has been named by U.S. media as the most influential trader in Wall Street history. He is also the inspiration for the character Bobby Axelrod, a financial tycoon in the popular American TV series "Billions." Analysis from Goldman Sachs' trading department shows that if stocks fall by 10% within a month, it could trigger about $200 billion in systemic selling, with one-third coming from the U.S. market.
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