polymarket

According to disclosures from the GoPlus Chinese community, the prediction market platform Polymarket was hacked due to a design flaw in the synchronization mechanism between off-chain and on-chain trading results in its order system.The attacker manipulated the nonce, causing on-chain matched trades to be canceled or invalidated before execution, while off-chain records remained valid, leading to API false reports that affected trading behaviors of bots like Negrisk, resulting in user losses. The analysis of the attack process is as follows:The attacker submitted/matched large reverse trades with the market-making bot on the Polymarket off-chain orderbook.The attacker constructed transactions with forged/repeated nonces or utilized on-chain nonce competition, causing the on-chain transactions to inevitably revert.The Polymarket API returned "transaction successful" to the bot before on-chain confirmation, leading the bot to believe that the position had been hedged, while the actual on-chain state had not changed.The attacker then executed real on-chain trades to take advantage of the direction exposed by the bot, thus profiting "risk-free."Since the revert occurred at the chain level, Polymarket fees would not explode, making the attack cost controllable and executable continuously.GoPlus recommends that users pause automated trading tools, verify on-chain trading statuses, enhance wallet security, and closely monitor official announcements from Polymarket.

According to The Block, the on-chain prediction market platform Polymarket has announced the acquisition of the prediction market API startup Dome, with the transaction amount undisclosed. This is Polymarket's second official acquisition.Dome is a Y Combinator Fall 2025 incubator project that provides a unified prediction market API, helping developers build applications, trading bots, and data dashboards that can interface with multiple platforms such as Polymarket and Kalshi.The company previously received a $500,000 investment from YC and completed a $4.7 million seed round of financing. Polymarket is currently valued at approximately $9 billion and has been continuously expanding its business landscape through mergers and acquisitions; it previously acquired the U.S. licensed derivatives exchange QCEX to aid its return to the U.S. market, and the company has also established distribution partnerships with Major League Soccer (MLS), the National Hockey League (NHL), and the media platform Substack.

Recent federal litigation by Polymarket against Massachusetts may determine whether the regulation of prediction markets in the United States falls under federal or state jurisdiction. Polymarket argues in the lawsuit that Congress has granted exclusive regulatory authority over "event contracts" (prediction markets for sports, politics, etc.) to the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), and therefore state governments do not have the power to independently prohibit or regulate these platforms.The lawsuit aims to prevent Massachusetts Attorney General Andrea Campbell from potential enforcement actions, following a preliminary injunction issued by the state court against Polymarket's competitor Kalshi, which determined that its sports-related contracts constituted unlicensed sports betting. The regulatory conflict between the federal government and the states is intensifying, with prediction market platforms claiming they are regulated as derivatives markets by the CFTC and can operate nationwide, while states like Massachusetts and Nevada view them as a "sports betting loophole" that circumvents state gambling laws, leading to multiple lawsuits and injunctions.The outcome of Polymarket's appeal could reshape the regulatory framework for prediction markets in the United States, determining whether these platforms can operate free from state gambling law restrictions or must comply with varying rules across states, and it may ultimately be appealed to the U.S. Supreme Court.

According to official news, Polymarket has announced an exclusive partnership with Substack.According to the announcement, Substack authors will be able to natively integrate Polymarket market data into their content, using real-time prediction market information to assist news reporting.Both parties stated that this move aims to embed prediction market data into the writing process, providing data reference support for content creators.

According to the tracking data from the Web3 asset data platform RootData X, in the past 7 days, the Web3 loyalty rewards platform RoveWorld has been the project with the most unfollows by top figures on X (Twitter). New influential figures on X who have unfollowed this project include zac.eth(@zacxbt) and Jakey(@SolJakey).In addition, the projects with the most unfollows by top figures on X also include Hydration and Polymarket.

The Polymarket team member Mustafa liked the tweet "Polymarket will release an airdrop in the next 6 months" this morning.

According to Fortune, Jake Paul posted on the X platform that the venture capital fund Anti Fund, co-founded with Geoffrey Woo, currently has assets under management exceeding $65 million.The fund has transformed from an initial rolling fund into an institutional company and has successfully secured investment stakes in well-known projects such as OpenAI, Anduril, Polymarket, and Ramp. Jake Paul stated that he is the first celebrity to reach a licensing agreement with OpenAI's text-generating video platform Sora, permitting the use of his name, image, and likeness. Anti Fund partner Steve Han mentioned that the fund leverages its marketing distribution capabilities on social media to support tech startups.Previously, Jake Paul reached a settlement with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) for illegally promoting a cryptocurrency scheme.

Blockworks researcher Kunal Doshi posted on the X platform that Polymarket's newly launched 5-minute BTC market has generated $25.2 million in trading volume within 40 hours of its launch. The average trading volume per window is approximately $52,000, reaching 10% to 20% of the 15-minute market's trading volume.Data shows that 7.1% of unique addresses simultaneously purchased Yes and No in a single window, with only 4.2% of addresses executing this in more than 50 windows. Although the number of such addresses is small, their trading volume accounts for 7.5% of the total, and the number of trades represents 23.4% of the total. Among these, 92.6% of the orders are buy orders, and 72.3% are executed as limit orders.These addresses achieved profitability in 80% of the windows, with the median transaction price for Yes and No at $0.9823. Currently, the market is exhibiting early arbitrage behavior, and if structural liquidity is introduced, the trading volume in the 5-minute market is expected to exceed that of the 15-minute market.

In response to the user's question on the X platform regarding "Has a (airdrop) snapshot been taken?", Polymarket's market head William LeGate stated that it has not yet been done.According to previous news from ChainCatcher, Polymarket will extend its fees to the sports market, starting February 18, it will charge for NCAA and Serie A events.

The Israeli prosecution subsequently charged a reservist and a civilian with using military confidential information to place bets on Polymarket.Rundeep has not traded for over a month, which may be related to this case.

Polymarket official Rodrigo posted on Discord that the fee mechanism will be expanded to the NCAA and Serie A markets. The fee structure is the same as the "15-minute cryptocurrency rise and fall market," meaning the taker pays the fee while the maker receives a rebate, but the coefficients are different ------ the rate is 0.0175, the index is 1, and the maker rebate is 25%, so the overall cost will be lower.Starting from 00:00 UTC on February 18, 2026 (Wednesday), all new NCAAB and Serie A related events created after this time will be subject to the new fee mechanism, while existing events will not be affected. The first rebate distribution will occur at 00:00 UTC on February 19.

According to Theblock, the Israeli prosecution has filed charges against a reservist from the Israel Defense Forces and a civilian, accusing them of using military confidential information to place bets on the blockchain-based prediction market platform Polymarket.The prosecution alleges that the reservist obtained sensitive operational intelligence through his military position and shared this information with the civilian, who then used it to place bets on events related to military operations on Polymarket.The Tel Aviv District Court has lifted the injunction at the request of the National Prosecutor's Office's Cyber Department. The suspects were arrested in a joint operation by the Israeli Security Agency, police, and the Defense Ministry's security investigation department. The two defendants are charged with serious security-related offenses, bribery, and obstruction of justice.

According to Forbes, Polymarket announced a partnership with Kaito AI to launch an "Attention Market," allowing users to predict the popularity of trends, brands, and individuals, as well as public opinion. Polymarket's trading volume exceeded $1 billion in January, and the collaboration with Kaito AI will support its expansion into the "Attention Market."

Jump Trading has reached agreements with Kalshi and Polymarket to provide liquidity on the aforementioned prediction market platforms in exchange for a small equity stake. The agreement between Jump Trading and Kalshi involves a fixed amount of equity, while its stake in Polymarket will grow with the trading capacity it provides in its U.S. operations.Currently, Polymarket is valued at $9 billion, and Kalshi is valued at $11 billion. Jump Trading currently has over 20 employees engaged in prediction market trading, aiming to acquire equity in the two leading prediction markets by providing trading resources.

According to Lookonchain monitoring, a Polymarket trader spent $2.34 million yesterday betting on the Seahawks to win the 2026 Super Bowl. Two hours ago, he redeemed $3.41 million, making a profit of $1.07 million.

According to monitoring by Lookonchain, Polymarket trader kch123 (0x6a7...33ee) has accumulated profits exceeding 11 million dollars. During the Super Bowl LX in 2026, this trader made 5 bets and won all of them, earning 1.8 million dollars in a single day.The composition of their profits includes: profit of 986,792 dollars from Seahawks (-4.5) spread, profit of 298,946 dollars from the Seahawks vs. Patriots game, profit of 235,343 dollars from the prediction "Seattle Seahawks will win the Super Bowl 2026," profit of 220,760 dollars from Seahawks (-5.5) spread, and profit of 62,507 dollars from the prediction "New England Patriots will win the Super Bowl 2026."

Polymarket's parent company Blockratize submitted trademark applications for "POLY" and "$POLY" during the token issuance plan, covering software, tokens, and platform services related to financial and cryptocurrency markets.It is reported that Polymarket executives have confirmed that the company plans to launch a native POLY token and conduct an airdrop, but no specific timeline has been announced yet.

Stablecoin provider Circle announced a partnership with Polymarket to enhance the stablecoin infrastructure for prediction markets. Circle will introduce a transparent, fully-backed stablecoin infrastructure for prediction markets, improving settlement reliability and reducing friction to support the next phase of development for on-chain financial markets.