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According to analysis by BIT official Chinese (@BITofficial_CN), the 7-day implied volatility of Bitcoin has fallen below the 30% mark to 25%, similar to the low volatility period in the summer of 2023.In the context of relatively low option prices, analysts suggest that investors consider a "spot replacement strategy" ------ selling part of their Bitcoin spot holdings, replacing it with a bullish call spread or directly buying call options, which can retain upside exposure. If the price continues to decline, the maximum loss is limited to the option premium, and the released funds can also earn interest elsewhere.

According to The Block, K33 research director Vetle Lunde stated that by the end of the first half of 2026, the Norwegian sovereign wealth fund's indirect Bitcoin exposure through holdings in companies such as Strategy, Metaplanet, MARA, Coinbase, Block, and Tesla has risen to 11,549 BTC, a record high valued at approximately $725 million. This exposure grew by 21.2% in the first half of the year and by 60.5% over the past year, marking the sixth consecutive reporting period of increase.Among these, Strategy accounts for nearly 86% of the fund's indirect Bitcoin exposure, corresponding to approximately 9,914 BTC. As of June 30, the Norwegian sovereign wealth fund held about 1.17% of Strategy's shares, valued at $357.3 million at that time. Metaplanet corresponds to 671 BTC, MARA corresponds to 421 BTC, and Coinbase, Block, and Tesla correspond to 183 BTC, 120 BTC, and 97 BTC, respectively.K33 pointed out that this exposure is likely not the result of the fund actively allocating to Bitcoin, but rather an indirect effect of its broadly diversified investment portfolio. Currently, the related Bitcoin exposure accounts for about 0.03% of the fund's total assets.In addition, the fund has also gained indirect ETH exposure through the Ethereum treasury company BitMine for the first time. As of June 30, it held 6.15 million shares of BitMine, valued at $88.3 million, accounting for about 1.16% of the company's shares; based on BitMine's current ETH holdings, this corresponds to an indirect exposure of approximately 67,340 ETH.

According to Staking Rewards data, the staking ratio of Ethereum has risen to a historical high, with approximately 41.89 million ETH currently staked, accounting for 34.7% of the total supply of Ethereum. The corresponding market value of staked ETH is about 78.56 billion USD, and the current staking yield is approximately 2.6%, having recently decreased by 0.49%. The number of active validators on the network is about 789,000.The staking ratio has continued to climb recently, with an increase of about 0.77%, while the network inflation rate has dropped to around 0.86%. More and more ETH is being locked in the PoS consensus, simultaneously tightening the circulating supply. The staking yield of ETH mainly comes from consensus layer issuance, priority fees, and MEV, but as the staking volume increases, the yield per validator will be diluted.

The Kobeissi Letter posted on platform X, stating that institutional investors are selling off U.S. tech stocks. According to Goldman Sachs data, for the week ending August 4, hedge funds, asset management companies, and other institutional investors sold $21.6 billion in Nasdaq futures, setting a record for the highest weekly amount. Short selling dominated, accounting for 72% of total sales. Among them, hedge funds sold $11.9 billion, and asset management companies sold $7.4 billion.The total net position of institutional investors in Nasdaq futures has dropped to negative $5 billion, marking the first negative position since May 2025. In contrast, this figure was as high as $54 billion in October 2025. Institutional investors are taking advantage of the market strength to sell off.

Token Terminal data shows that approximately 34.4% of ETH is currently staked, reaching a historical high. At the beginning of this year, the staking ratio of Ethereum was about 30%, and it has since continued to rise to 34.4%.Industry opinions suggest that large-scale staking restricts the circulating supply of ETH while locking more ETH on-chain for long-term earnings.

Renowned trader Doctor Profit posted that a historical indicator for Bitcoin is signaling that "the bottom has either formed or is very close." In 2015, 2019, and 2022, the bear market bottom formation phase began when the realized price of holders for 3 to 6 months fell below the realized price of holders for 1 to 2 years. He believes this indicates that newer buyers are capitulating and selling at a loss, with Bitcoin gradually transferring to longer-term holders.Currently, this crossover is appearing for the fourth time, while the BTC price is below the average cost of both categories of holders. However, historically, this signal does not immediately lead to a reversal; Bitcoin typically experiences several months of sideways movement to complete the bottoming process, so this phase can also be seen as a long-term accumulation range. He believes we are currently in the bottom formation and long-term accumulation phase of the bear market. Doctor Profit stated that over the past few weeks, he has been gradually buying BTC in batches within the range of $54,000 to $64,000, continuing to build his position incrementally with 5% of his portfolio each time.

According to official data, the cumulative subscription scale of Gate GUSD's current U.S. Treasury bonds has exceeded $251 million, setting a new historical record. Users holding GUSD can enjoy an annualized subscription yield of 3.8%, with earnings distributed daily, and it supports flexible deposits and withdrawals, meeting users' dual needs for stable income and liquidity.Meanwhile, the Gate Launchpool DOS staking activity is ongoing, with the estimated annualized yield of the DOS GUSD staking pool reaching 10.63%. When combined with the basic 3.80% current yield of GUSD, the overall annualized yield reaches 14.43%. The subscription for the third phase project of Gate Pre-IPOs, Moonshot AI (KIMI), has begun, allowing users to participate using both USDT and GUSD. Participating in the subscription with GUSD allows users to simultaneously enjoy the 3.8% current U.S. Treasury bond yield, achieving a combination of income generation and innovative asset allocation.

According to the latest data from the Gate platform, the total staking amount of its SOL mining (staking) products has reached 661,200 SOL, setting a new historical high, with a reference annualized yield of 7.91%. Users staking SOL can receive an equivalent amount of GTSOL assets, achieving asset appreciation.This service supports instant redemption, releasing liquidity and obtaining stable returns. In addition to SOL, the platform also offers multi-currency staking options. As of the time of publication, the reference annualized yields are: GUSD 3.80%, BTC 2.67%, ETH 4.03%, USD1 7.64%, and USDT 3.27%.

CryptoQuant analyst MorenoDV_ stated that data shows the Ethereum Unspent Net Profit and Loss (NUPL) on the Binance platform has fallen back to around -0.35, entering a range that has historically corresponded to significant price bottoms multiple times.This indicator reflects the unrealized profit and loss status of a specific group of holdings, and the current negative value indicates that the overall Ethereum holdings are in a relatively deep unrealized loss.

Hyperliquid News posted on the X platform that the value of open contracts for HIP-3 has reached a historic high of 4.12 billion dollars.

With the easing of the situation in the Middle East, weakening oil prices, and strong corporate earnings, the U.S. stock market continues to strengthen. The S&P 500 index rose 5.8% in the first four trading days before August 4, and the options market simultaneously released the strongest bullish signals in recent years.Data shows that the average daily ratio of bullish to bearish options for the S&P 500 index has risen to 0.9, the highest level in at least four years; the skew indicator for short-term bullish options has also reached a two-year high, indicating that investors are paying higher premiums betting on a rapid market rise.Analysts believe that the current "fear of missing out" sentiment is heating up, with some institutional investors more worried about missing out on the upward trend rather than the risk of a downturn. However, there are also views that the extreme optimism in the options market may amplify short-term volatility, and caution is needed regarding the risk misjudgment driven by technical factors.

According to data from the Bank of Korea, South Korea's current account surplus in June reached 49.73 billion USD, setting a monthly record for the second consecutive month, further expanding from 38.61 billion USD in May, and compared to 13.97 billion USD in the same period last year. The cumulative surplus for the first half of the year was 191.01 billion USD, the highest in history for the same period, exceeding the Bank of Korea's previous annual target of 250 billion USD by 76%. The goods trade surplus of 47.89 billion USD also set a monthly record, with exports increasing by 84.5% year-on-year to 112.37 billion USD, surpassing the 100 billion USD mark for the first time, among which chip exports soared by 196.9%, and computer peripherals grew by 282.7%.South Korea's current account has maintained a surplus for 38 consecutive months since May 2023. The services account deficit widened to 1.29 billion USD, mainly influenced by increased payments related to intellectual property; the travel account surplus was 440 million USD, the second highest since October 2008. The current account surplus for South Korea in 2025 is projected to be 123.05 billion USD, setting a historical annual record.

GMGN data shows that the market capitalization of the Robinhood ecosystem Meme coin StonkBroker briefly surpassed $95 million, reaching a historical high, and has now fallen back to $85.38 million.Meme coin prices are highly volatile, primarily driven by market sentiment and conceptual speculation, lacking clear practical application scenarios. Investors should be aware of the associated risks.

According to CoinDesk, Bitcoin's implied volatility on the 30th fell to a long-term support level of 36%, with the price maintaining a narrow range below $65,000. Adam Haeems, head of asset management at Tesseract Group, reminded that a low-volatility environment will lower trading costs, thereby encouraging traders to establish large directional bets and hedge positions; once the market breaks through key price levels, the passive hedging behavior of market makers will amplify market fluctuations, driving a mean-reversion rebound in volatility.On the market sentiment front, Paul-Howard, Senior Director at Wincent, stated that the current demand for put options has significantly cooled, but there is also a lack of buying interest for call options. Glassnode summarized this state as "there is neither capital to buy into the rise nor capital to buy into the fall," believing that this phenomenon often represents the market nearing a cyclical bottom. The divergence in the trends of Dogecoin and Bitcoin also indirectly reflects the continued low speculative sentiment.Howard believes that favorable regulatory advances like the Clarity Act, which drive institutional ETF capital inflows, may become an important catalyst for the next round of market movements; while the failure of negotiations in the Strait of Hormuz and inflation exceeding expectations pose major downside risks.

CryptoQuant analyst Moreno stated that USDT liquidity is experiencing one of the most severe contraction phases in history. The market value of USDT has decreased by about 4 billion dollars over the past 60 days, approaching historically low levels. At the same time, the liquidity contraction is still accelerating, with the USDT supply decreasing by about 870 million dollars in the past 11 days, indicating that this is not merely a lagging effect caused by previous redemptions.Stablecoins are the most direct source of available liquidity in the crypto market, and the continuous expansion of USDT is usually accompanied by stronger price performance of BTC, while prolonged contraction phases often correspond to weak demand, market corrections, and declining risk appetite. However, the correlation between USDT flows and BTC prices does not prove a direct causal relationship; both may be influenced by risk-averse sentiment, with redemption pressure and spot selling occurring simultaneously. The current decline in BTC is not an isolated event but is happening against the backdrop of a continuous shrinkage of one of the main sources of market liquidity, which also explains why the recent rebound has been difficult to sustain. To improve the market environment, we need to see the 60-day change in USDT stabilize, daily supply contraction slow down, and re-enter an expansion phase.

According to Gate market data, as of the close, the China-Korea Semiconductor ETF (513310) had a total trading volume of 23.7 billion, marking the third highest record in history. The highest record was 25.9 billion on July 29, 2026, and the second highest was 24 billion on July 21, 2026. This ETF tracks the China Securities Korea Exchange China-Korea Semiconductor Index, with the top two holdings being Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix.Today, the South Korean KOSPI index closed up 3.76%, with SK Hynix rising 5.8% and Samsung Electronics rising 2.5%.

According to Gate market data, the S&P 500 reached 7696.08 points, with an increase of 1.27%, continuing to set a new historical high.

Crypto analyst Crypto Dan posted on the X platform that Bitcoin is currently in a severely undervalued range. From a cyclical perspective, Bitcoin is close to historical bottom positions. Although it is still uncertain whether this is the absolute bottom, the indicator shows that the current level of interest from market participants in the crypto market is comparable to that at past bottoms.Crypto Dan stated that looking ahead to the next upward cycle around 2027, the current level is undoubtedly in a cheap range.