insider

According to Theblock citing The Information, Polymarket has launched an audit targeting application startups that promise to help users track suspected insider trading activities.The report states that these copy trading applications provide customers with a list of traders on the Polymarket platform who have a good track record of profitability, or highlight some unusually large or oddly timed bets that may be based on confidential information. Customers can use bots to replicate these trades or receive notifications of seemingly good trades. These applications charge service fees.It is reported that Polymarket and its main competitor Kalshi have both been scrutinized for insider trading issues. Last month, Polymarket introduced clearer rules regarding insider trading and its enforcement.

According to Lookonchain monitoring, two wallets associated with BTC OG insider whales withdrew 59,000,000 Binance coins from Binance a month ago at a price of $0.074 each, worth approximately $4.38 million at that time. Currently, the total value of these 59,000,000 Binance coins has risen to $19.5 million, with unrealized gains exceeding $15 million.

Agent Garrett Jin from "1011 Insider Whale" pointed out in an analysis that the U.S. announcement to implement a maritime blockade in the Strait of Hormuz is one of the "most tactically wise" moves in the current conflict, but it is unlikely to achieve the goal of ending the war. This strategy has two short-term advantages: first, it directly weakens Iran's crude oil export revenue by about 1.7 million barrels per day; second, compared to occupying key facilities (such as Khark Island), the cost of a maritime blockade is lower and the risks are more controllable.However, the effectiveness of this strategy faces multiple challenges. For example, the current blockade mainly targets Iranian ports rather than completely closing the strait, and third-party transshipment routes still exist. Additionally, it undermines the U.S.'s long-term international image of maintaining "freedom of navigation," which could have far-reaching effects on global maritime order.Garrett Jin concluded that while the blockade measures may reshape the initiative in the short term, they are unlikely to force Iran to make concessions and may instead compress diplomatic space and prolong the conflict cycle. The market has accounted for the impact of the blockade itself, but has not fully priced in the potential paths for escalation that may follow.

As Robinhood accelerates its layout in the prediction market, it has proactively excluded certain contract products due to concerns that they may foster market manipulation and insider trading risks. Robinhood UK President Jordan Sinclair stated that the company is highly attentive to market abuse issues and will not offer all prediction markets or event contracts to users, but will selectively launch products that are more suitable for customers.Recently, several "precise betting" incidents have raised regulatory concerns. For example, there were unusually large bets placed on Polymarket before U.S. actions against Iran; Israeli regulators have also sued two individuals who used confidential information to place bets. Additionally, "mention markets" (such as words that will appear in a speech being bet on) have been explicitly excluded from Robinhood's product range due to their susceptibility to manipulation.Currently, Robinhood primarily provides compliant prediction market services through partnerships with Kalshi and ForecastEx, prioritizing regulated platforms to reduce information abuse and cross-border compliance risks. In contrast, the less regulated Polymarket allows users to trade through cryptocurrency wallets with relatively loose identity verification.Robinhood previously anticipated that prediction markets would become an important growth engine, with CEO Vlad Tenev stating that this business could become one of the fastest-growing segments by 2025, potentially driving the formation of a trillion-dollar annual trading scale in the future.

According to the WSJ, just hours after President Trump suddenly announced a suspension of attacks on Iran last month, the White House warned staff not to abuse their power to place bets in prediction markets at the right moment. According to informed sources, the Office of Management and Budget issued this warning on March 23.Earlier that day, Trump announced the decision to suspend airstrikes via Truth Social. About 15 minutes before the sudden policy shift, there was a wave of mysterious trading activity in the futures market, with Dow Jones market data showing that contracts worth over $760 million in oil futures changed hands in less than two minutes.Recently, three accounts on the Polymarket platform profited over $600,000 by accurately predicting the timing of this week's ceasefire in Iran. Critics of Trump, including many Democrats, immediately inferred that someone had profited from having advance knowledge of the policy shift.The White House confirmed the authenticity of this warning, with Trump's spokesperson Engel stating, "The only special interest that can guide President Trump's decision-making is the best interest of the American people."

According to Polybeats statistics, at least 11 addresses profited from the "US-Iran Ceasefire" prediction market on Polymarket through their predictions. The address with the highest profit, 0xffa6b3...30fe, made approximately $405,000, while 0xa4eb52...d010 profited around $339,000.The total profit for all addresses reached $1,913,292.47. These trades were concentrated in several ceasefire deadline markets expiring from March to April. Some early bets on the March ceasefire positions initially incurred losses, but as the expectations for the ceasefire materialized in early April, later positions saw significant profits.

According to informed sources, the final proposal for the US-Iran ceasefire agreement includes Iran abandoning nuclear weapons in exchange for the lifting of sanctions and the unfreezing of assets. A plan to end hostilities in the Middle East needs to be agreed upon by Monday. If an agreement is reached, the plan will facilitate an immediate ceasefire, the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, and the achievement of a final agreement within 15 to 20 days. The Chief of Army Staff of Pakistan has had phone calls with US Vice President Vance, Special Envoy Witkoff, and Iranian Foreign Minister Zarif. Iran and the US have received a plan to end hostilities, which consists of a two-tier agreement: first achieving a ceasefire, and then reaching a final agreement.

According to Bloomberg, David Miller, the enforcement director of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), stated at a seminar at New York University on Tuesday that the agency will use its existing enforcement authority to combat insider trading in prediction markets.David Miller pointed out that there is a misunderstanding in mainstream media and social media that laws related to insider trading do not apply to prediction markets, and he clearly stated that this view is incorrect.

Insiders revealed on Tuesday that SpaceX is collaborating with at least 21 banks to prepare for its blockbuster IPO, one of the largest underwriting groups in recent years. This IPO is internally codenamed "Apex," expected to take place in June, with a valuation reaching $1.75 trillion, poised to become one of the most anticipated stock market debuts on Wall Street. Insiders stated that Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan Chase, Bank of America, and Citigroup are serving as active bookrunners, meaning they are the lead banks managing this transaction.They added that another 16 banks have signed on to take smaller roles. About half of these banks had not been previously reported. The size of the underwriting group highlights the scale and complexity of the proposed issuance plan.

According to CNN, citing multiple sources, federal prosecutors in Manhattan, New York, are investigating whether some high-yield bets in prediction markets violate insider trading and other laws.According to insiders, the head of the Securities and Commodities Fraud Unit of the U.S. Attorney's Office for the Southern District of New York recently met with representatives from Polymarket to discuss how existing laws might apply to potential misconduct in this rapidly evolving industry. The U.S. Department of Justice is focusing on those high-profile high-yield bets, marking an escalation in regulatory scrutiny of the industry. Over the past year, the prediction market industry has rapidly expanded with relatively limited federal oversight.

California Governor Gavin Newsom signed an executive order prohibiting government-appointed officials from using non-public information obtained during their duties to engage in insider trading for profit in prediction markets, and expanded the ban to include their spouses, family members, and former business partners. The executive order specifies that public officials appointed by the governor may not use "confidential or non-public information" to bet on political or economic events related to their duties. Newsom stated that public service should not become a tool for profit and emphasized the need to draw a clear line between power and interests.

According to the Wall Street Journal, sources say that the SpaceX IPO is expected to raise between $40 billion and $80 billion. SpaceX is considering offering preferential treatment to investors from other companies owned by Musk in the stock allocation.Previous news from ChainCatcher indicates that the SpaceX IPO may reserve up to 30% of the shares for retail investors.

Sources say that SpaceX's IPO may reserve up to 30% of shares for retail investors.

According to a report by Bloomberg, Kimi's parent company, Moon's Dark Side, is in the preliminary stages of considering an initial public offering in Hong Kong and has begun discussions with China International Capital Corporation and Goldman Sachs regarding the listing cooperation. The specific timing has not yet been determined, and the planning is still underway, with the possibility that it may not proceed. Both Moon's Dark Side and Goldman Sachs declined to comment, and China International Capital Corporation did not respond.After completing over $700 million in financing earlier this year, Moon's Dark Side is negotiating a new round of financing, with a scale of up to $1 billion, which would bring its valuation to approximately $18 billion after this round of funding. Its C round valuation was about $4.3 billion at the end of last year, and the valuation has since risen rapidly. Founder Yang Zhilin stated in an internal letter at the end of last year that the company has 10 billion RMB in cash and is "not in a hurry to go public in the short term." There were also rumors of a "backdoor listing" last December, which the company denied.Competitors in the same sector, Zhiyu and MiniMax (Xiyu Technology), have already gone public on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, and taking advantage of the investor enthusiasm generated by peers going public, Moon's Dark Side has been accelerating its financing in the private equity market.

According to official news, Polymarket announced today that it has updated its DeFi platform and the market integrity rules of its U.S. exchange regulated by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). These rules have been incorporated into the Terms of Use of the DeFi platform and the Polymarket U.S. Rules Manual, further strengthening Polymarket's requirements against insider trading and market manipulation, and reaffirming Polymarket's commitment to maintaining market quality and protecting user rights.The updated rules clarify three core prohibited insider trading behaviors:Trading based on stolen confidential information ------ If a participant possesses confidential information about the outcome or potential outcomes of an underlying event, and using that information would violate a pre-existing trust or confidentiality obligation to others or entities, the participant may not engage in any contract trading.Prohibition on trading based on illegal insider information ------ Participants may not trade based on confidential information provided to them by others if that information was provided by someone who has a prior trust or confidentiality obligation to others, and the participant knows or has reason to know that the person providing that information would themselves be prohibited from trading based on that information.Trading by individuals who can influence the outcome ------ If a participant has the authority or influence sufficient to affect the outcome of the underlying event, they may not engage in any contract trading.

According to crypto KOL Crypto Fearless, Gala has returned to OKX, where the department is the President's Office and the position is a strategy role.Additionally, according to the crypto asset data platform RootData, Gala was previously the Director of Ecosystem Development for BNB Chain, the Head of Partnerships for OKX Marketplace, and the Investment Director at Zonff Partners, graduating from the University of Washington.

According to a report by CCTV cited by Jinshi, on March 20 local time, U.S. officials stated that the U.S. military is deploying three warships and approximately 2,500 Marines to the Middle East. Previously, informed sources indicated that the troop increase would provide U.S. President Trump with more military options, including launching operations to "clear" the Strait of Hormuz, which would require deploying air and naval forces to the Iranian coastline.According to informed sources, the Trump administration is also considering deploying ground troops to Khark Island, the "lifeline" of Iranian oil exports. This plan aims to seize the island as leverage to force Iran to restore passage through the Strait of Hormuz. Khark Island is located in the northwestern part of the Persian Gulf, more than 20 kilometers from the Iranian coast, and is Iran's largest crude oil export base, with about 90% of Iran's oil exported from here.

According to IT Home citing The Information, two informed sources stated that TikTok's Chinese parent company ByteDance has suspended its global launch plan for the latest video generation model Seedance 2.0 after a series of copyright disputes with several major Hollywood studios and streaming platforms.The report stated that ByteDance originally planned to launch this new video model to global users in mid-March, but has now suspended the related plans. The report added that ByteDance's legal team is investigating and addressing potential legal issues, and engineers are also increasing protective mechanisms to prevent the model from generating content that may lead to further intellectual property infringements.