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According to Catcher Predict monitoring, in the predicted market event "Belgium vs. Türkiye - More Markets" on Polymarket, the "Over" option of the sub-market "Türkiye O/U 4.5" has experienced a dramatic fluctuation in winning probability, plummeting from 35.95% an hour ago to the current 19.65% (a fluctuation of 16.3%). Please note the impact of relevant breaking news.

Bybit CEO Ben Zhou stated in an interview with Turkish media Fintechtime that, reflecting on the 2025 Bybit attack incident, one of the issues was the use of third-party service providers and the excessive concentration of assets within that third-party related system.Zhou mentioned that since then, Bybit has comprehensively adjusted its security policies, shifting to a zero-trust model, while decentralizing wallets across different architectures and strengthening the isolation of local and global operations to reduce the risk of a single attack impacting a large amount of assets. He also stated that Bybit hopes to develop its Turkish operations into a super application covering crypto trading, payments, global transfers, and more investment products in the future.

The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury bond once surged to 5.29%, reaching a new high in 19 years. New York Federal Reserve President Williams stated that he is "not in a hurry," cooling expectations for an interest rate hike in October. Saxo Bank pointed out that the yield has retreated, but tonight's U.S. PCE data will determine the next steps for the dollar and U.S. Treasuries.

Wintermute posted that, on the macro front, risk assets continued to rise last week. Even with the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield breaking above 5%, a high not seen since 2007, there was no significant risk-averse sentiment in the market. Crypto assets led the way, with altcoins rising approximately 5%, followed closely by BTC, and the Nasdaq also recorded gains, while long-term U.S. Treasuries performed the weakest.The report believes that oil prices will be a key factor influencing the interest rate hike expectations for October. Currently, oil transportation through the Strait of Hormuz remains significantly below pre-conflict levels, with Brent crude prices nearing $103 per barrel. If oil prices continue to stay around or above $100 per barrel, market expectations for another rate hike in October may remain high, at which point the core issue will shift to whether risk assets can absorb further rate hikes in the short term while bonds remain under pressure.In the crypto market, BTC last week first stood above the 50-week moving average on a weekly basis, with the current level of $82,500 being the upper boundary of the previous consolidation range, which is also a key position to watch this week; if this level can stabilize, it may become the foundation for the previous breakout; otherwise, a drop below this level will reignite concerns about the validity of the breakout. Meanwhile, BTC's market share has increased, the breadth of altcoin gains is at a relatively high level, and institutional options trading continues to increase with low Delta bullish options and call spreads being added for year-end positioning.

HashKey, a digital asset financial services group, is evaluating more acquisition targets, strategic investment opportunities, and potential collaborations in Asia and the Middle East.Eric Zhu, Chief Financial Officer of HashKey, stated in an interview with Mergermarket that capital deployment over the next 12 to 24 months will focus on transactions and liquidity, custody, clearing and settlement, payments, and tokenization, with priority markets including Singapore and Southeast Asia, Japan, and the Middle East. HashKey is evolving from a single trading platform into a comprehensive provider of digital asset and financial services infrastructure.

The CEO of the cryptocurrency trading platform MEXC, Vugar Usi, issued a statement regarding a recent user account security incident. Usi stated that the platform's customer service previously identified abnormalities in the account and implemented a freeze, subsequently assisting the user in recovering their original email and two-factor authenticator to mitigate risks.Due to the residual API keys in the account not being completely cleared, the attacker transferred funds before the situation was fully controlled. The platform is still investigating the detailed causes. Usi stated that the platform does not believe the affected users should bear the losses alone, and the team has formed a special task force to handle the incident, providing full compensation to the user.

According to QCP analysis, the global market opened under multi-asset pressure, with investors reducing risk exposure. The Nasdaq 100 index fell from 744.45 to 737.76 in pre-market trading, gold dropped from $4260 to $4147, Bitcoin decreased from $84500 to $82800, and the dollar index also declined, reflecting broad deleveraging rather than a shift to safe-haven assets.QCP stated that the main driving factor is geopolitical: the United States rejected a ceasefire condition proposal regarding the Strait of Hormuz last weekend, reigniting concerns over energy supply disruptions and driving a significant rise in Brent crude oil. This week, the U.S. macroeconomic calendar is packed. Following the recent interest rate hike by the Federal Reserve, the PCE price index and non-farm payroll report are key data points, and the market remains highly sensitive to data that could influence further adjustments in monetary policy. In terms of crypto options, front-end implied volatility remains high, with traders pricing for downside protection. Spot Bitcoin ETF fund flows show hesitation amid broader clearing. Bitcoin's recent technical strength faces dual pressure from geopolitical uncertainty and macroeconomic data risks, with key support levels being closely monitored.

Bitget CEO Gracy Chen publicly stated in a live broadcast regarding the platform's attack incident that the platform is currently preparing to resume withdrawals, but there is no accurate timeline for recovery yet. Bitget's internal and external technical teams are synchronously identifying the issues and formulating solutions, hoping to restore relevant services as soon as possible.Gracy Chen mentioned that the method of attack in this theft incident is different from previous security incidents that occurred at some exchanges. According to the current investigation, the hackers did not implement the attack through key leakage, but rather bypassed certain systems and initiated withdrawals through the system. She stated that key leakage is the worst-case scenario, but this incident is not the same.Due to the involvement of multiple cryptocurrencies and blockchain networks in this incident, Bitget is temporarily unable to directly open withdrawals and needs to confirm that funds are completely safe and develop a more secure handling plan before resuming. Gracy Chen stated that the platform has currently completed comprehensive loss prevention and will not experience further attacks; once the security issues are addressed more definitively, withdrawals will be reopened.

Killa posted on platform X, stating that it believes the bottom for Bitcoin has already appeared. From the current level to $126,000, the maximum pullback in this bull market is expected to be around 10% to 15%. If Bitcoin forms a local high near $87,000 before further dropping to just above $70,000, that area may become the bottom for Bitcoin; if it reaches the relevant price level, it will significantly increase the continuation of the upward trend for long positions.Killa stated that Bitcoin is currently testing a key area near $80,000. If it can hold the previously broken range high, the upward trend may continue; it will only consider shorting near $90,000.

According to monitoring by Scam Sniffer, Duelbits has experienced approximately $4.2 million in fund outflows from hot wallets on the Ethereum, BSC, and Tron networks, suspected to be related to a private key leak.The transferred assets include 836 ETH, 1.62 million USDT, 97,000 USDC, 209 BNB, and 192,000 TRX. Currently, most of the transferred assets have been converted to ETH.

The multi-chain Meme trading terminal GMGN released a recruitment notice on September 23, seeking talent globally, with 8 key positions available.This recruitment focuses on two main areas: product management and research and development. In the product management area, there are three positions: social community, user conversion, and on-chain trading, all based in Hong Kong and requiring full-time commitment. In the research and development area, there are five positions: EVM trading routing engineer, on-chain data development engineer, senior backend development engineer, senior blockchain development engineer (cross-chain direction), and smart contract engineer (Launchpad direction). Resumes should be sent to [email protected] stated that the team is dedicated to building the fastest multi-chain Meme trading terminal in the world, with members being deep on-chain users themselves. Recently, GMGN's perpetual contract trading feature was opened for public testing on September 21 and has supported 7 launch platforms including Pons on the Robinhood Chain.

In the seventh live broadcast of the Huobi Expert Lecture, HTX Research asset analyst WZ pointed out that in the past, people were accustomed to explaining Crypto with Crypto, but today, the variables that determine the next phase of Crypto are increasingly occurring outside of Crypto. This marks a new pricing cycle that Crypto is entering.On the policy level, WZ believes that although the Clarity Act, which has systematic characteristics, is hindered in the Senate due to the need to secure bipartisan votes and issues involving the Trump family's interests and stablecoin profit distribution, U.S. crypto regulation has not stalled. For instance, the SEC recently released an "innovation exemption" plan that allows compliant institutions meeting certain conditions to tokenize specific stocks, accelerating the integration of traditional finance and crypto.On the macro level, WZ stated that the situation in the Middle East and the blockage risk in the Strait of Hormuz have raised the "risk premium" of crude oil. Rising oil prices can trigger inflation expectations, which in turn affect U.S. Treasury yields and global liquidity. When energy prices remain high and interest rates stay elevated, the upward potential for risk assets like Bitcoin may be constrained.WZ also pointed out that in this cycle, the direct inflow and outflow of ETF funds have changed the traditional logic of capital overflow, making a "general rise" pattern for altcoins difficult to achieve. However, in the new cycle, assets with a "new narrative" and strong consensus will still experience independent upward trends.

According to Cointelegraph, the European Securities and Markets Authority (ESMA) will establish a new EU strategic regulatory priority themed around digital innovation starting in 2027, initially focusing on AI and tokenization.Regulatory authorities in EU member states will identify emerging areas of tokenization, documenting how businesses use or plan to use AI and tokenization technologies in products and processes that directly affect investors, and conducting preliminary checks on some of the most affected companies.ESMA stated that the risks that need to be prioritized include biased or misleading AI outputs, products that are difficult for investors to understand, and reliance on a few third-party service providers. This priority will be advanced in parallel with the regulatory priority for cyber and operational resilience that will be launched in 2025.

According to Bitcoin Magazine, CoinRoutes co-founder Dave Weisberger stated in a video interview with Bitcoin Magazine that the biggest unreleased factor for Bitcoin is not ETFs or corporate hoarding, but rather collateral treatment. He pointed out that banks face a nearly 100% discount when holding Bitcoin, and once Bitcoin is treated like other assets based on volatility and liquidity, the situation for lending institutions and companies like Strategy Inc (formerly MicroStrategy) will change.Weisberger referred to this adjustment as the "final hurdle" and mentioned that both the Basel Committee and regulators believe this change is inevitable, but it has not yet been fully realized. He also discussed topics such as asset tokenization, Hyperliquid, and Federal Reserve policies, believing that Wall Street is providing support for related directions under the trend of tokenization.He further stated that the influx of ETF funds has reduced Bitcoin's volatility; every 25 basis points change in interest rates adds $100 billion to the U.S. fiscal deficit; Bitcoin still possesses asymmetric option characteristics, and the issue of "clean collateral" has not been resolved, so market FOMO sentiment has not truly begun.

According to the FATF official website, FATF released the mutual evaluation report for Turkey in 2026 on September 23. The report shows that Turkey has made progress in the use of financial intelligence and international cooperation, but there are still significant shortcomings in money laundering investigations related to high-risk predicate crimes (such as drug trafficking and illegal gambling), recovery of overseas assets, and reporting of suspicious transactions.Turkey received a "partially compliant" rating for targeted financial sanctions related to proliferation financing (R.7) and regulation of non-profit organizations (R.8), and was ultimately placed on the enhanced follow-up list, requiring key rectifications to be completed within three years and regular progress reports.

Bitcoin Magazine released a video interview where Jim Bianco, founder of Bianco Research, stated that the bond market signaled over two years ago before the Federal Reserve's first interest rate hike in more than three years. He pointed out that during the previous rate-cutting cycle of the Federal Reserve, the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury rose from 3.7% to 5%, marking the first time in over 50 years that the long-end yield increased while the Federal Reserve was cutting rates.In his discussion with Grace Remington and Sean Hagan, Bianco also mentioned that the Federal Reserve's decision on October 28 (one week before the midterm elections) is more significant than Wall Street expects. He refuted the "devaluation trade" narrative and discussed what Bitcoin needs to demonstrate, including development activity and the DeFi summer. He believes that the construction of Bitcoin ETFs has missed the point and stated that Tether has effectively become a circulating currency in Venezuela and Afghanistan.Additionally, Bianco talked about stablecoins and the GENIUS Act, real demand for government bonds, and the post-pandemic economy, while criticizing Federal Reserve Chairman Powell. He noted the existence of multiple wars and "safe haven" logic and referenced the "Fourth Turning" theory to analyze the current macro cycle.

The Chief Information Security Officer of the blockchain security company SlowMist, 23pds, stated that attackers are exploiting the Darksword vulnerability to bypass iOS security mechanisms through Safari, gaining control of devices and extracting private keys and other data from self-hosted cryptocurrency wallets. This vulnerability has been used in attacks targeting users in Saudi Arabia, Turkey, Malaysia, and Ukraine. The Google Threat Intelligence Group previously disclosed that Darksword initially only affected iOS versions 18.4 to 18.7.23pds noted that attackers have adapted it to iOS 26.5, but this assessment has not yet been officially verified. Attacks typically begin with social engineering, where users click on malicious links sent via social media or messaging applications, potentially granting Root access to the device and extracting wallet data. Users should promptly update their mobile systems and avoid visiting website links sent by strangers; additionally, three investors have lost nearly 1.8 million dollars in Bitcoin due to downloading fake wallet applications from the official Apple App Store and have filed a lawsuit against Apple.