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ZEC $260.31 -8.86%
BTC $69,371.03 -2.64%
ETH $2,070.54 -4.58%
BNB $629.16 -2.82%
XRP $1.42 -4.56%
SOL $81.67 -4.53%
TRX $0.2795 -0.47%
DOGE $0.0974 -3.83%
ADA $0.2735 -4.22%
BCH $462.37 -3.08%
LINK $8.64 -2.97%
HYPE $28.98 -1.81%
AAVE $122.61 -3.42%
SUI $0.9270 -3.64%
XLM $0.1605 -4.62%
ZEC $260.31 -8.86%

margin

Analysis: SOPR has dropped to the range of 0.92–0.94, indicating macro marginal improvement, but the structural bull market for BTC has not yet been established

Bitfinex released an analysis report indicating that the decline in inflation in the U.S. market and the rise in interest rate cut expectations provide psychological support for risk assets, but the cryptocurrency market is more likely to experience phase fluctuations rather than a one-sided trend.The expansion of the Federal Reserve's balance sheet reduces systemic liquidity risks, which historically tends to benefit scarce assets like Bitcoin. However, the current pace of liquidity recovery is relatively slow, and selling pressure on spot Bitcoin re-emerged earlier this week, with cumulative sell-offs reaching several billion dollars. Although the market's ability to absorb sell orders has improved compared to before, on-chain indicators show that the adjusted SOPR (Spent Output Profit Ratio) has dropped to the range of 0.92–0.94, reflecting that most cryptocurrencies are being transferred at a loss, indicating that structural pressure still exists.The current macro environment provides a certain liquidity buffer for the cryptocurrency market, but it is still insufficient to support a sustained bull market. Bitcoin has tactical rebound potential in the short term, while long-term structural upward movement requires clearer signals of declining inflation and sustained spot demand support.

The Federal Reserve document proposes to set initial margin weights for cryptocurrency derivatives

According to a report by Cointelegraph, a new analysis released by the Federal Reserve on Wednesday suggests that cryptocurrencies should be classified as a distinct asset class for the initial margin requirements in the "unsettled" derivatives market (including over-the-counter trading and other transactions not conducted through centralized clearinghouses).The report points out that the volatility of floating cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum, as well as stablecoins, differs significantly from traditional asset classes, making it unsuitable to apply the existing risk classifications for interest rates, stocks, foreign exchange, and commodities in standardized initial margin models. The authors recommend setting differentiated risk weights for these two categories of cryptocurrencies and propose constructing a benchmark index composed of half floating digital assets and half anchored stablecoins as a proxy variable to simulate the volatility and behavior of the crypto market, in order to calibrate more precise risk weights.Initial margin is a core risk control mechanism in the derivatives market, where traders must pledge collateral to mitigate counterparty default risk. The high volatility of crypto assets means that traders need to provide a higher proportion of collateral buffer. The report reflects that the federal level in the United States is making technical preparations for incorporating crypto assets into the existing regulatory framework.
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