surge

According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the "Bitcoin June Price Prediction" event on the prediction market Polymarket, the "Yes" option for the sub-market "Below $57,500" experienced significant fluctuations in winning probability, soaring from 63.65% an hour ago to the current 79.65% (a fluctuation of 16%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

According to Jinshi reports, the panic index VIX surged to a more than two-week high, rising 3.32 points to 18.72.

Green's harmonic stock briefly rose over 12% during trading, reaching a maximum of 377.15 yuan, with a maximum increase of over 15%, currently reported at 368 yuan.Previously, "New Stock God" Serenity posted on platform X, stating that Green's harmonic has a strong competitive advantage in the humanoid robot industry chain, holding over 60% of the domestic harmonic reducer market share, and called it one of its most favored investment targets in the humanoid robot sector.

According to The Block, blockchain analytics company Chainalysis has released a latest report indicating that as the gray market peptide industry scales surpasses an annualized $100 million, leading suppliers are accelerating the adoption of Bitcoin and stablecoins as primary settlement tools.In Q1 2026, cryptocurrency inflows into the industry reached $32 million, a month-on-month surge of 159%. Due to traditional banks and credit card payment channels generally imposing bans on prescription-grade compounds and unregulated substances, a large number of Chinese chemical manufacturers are turning to cryptocurrency to complete transactions, with high-value orders particularly favoring stablecoins to avoid price volatility risks.

Slow Fog's Yuxian stated on platform X that incidents of search engine poisoning involving fake Codex, Claude Code, and others have recently surged. It mentioned that it has previously warned multiple times about Google search results and its own services like Google Sites being exploited by black and gray market poisoning, but Google has not taken action against such obvious poisoning methods.

According to GMGN monitoring, the Solana ecosystem meme coin three surged by 104% in the past two hours, reaching a market cap high of $16 million, and has now fallen back to $13 million, with a 24-hour increase narrowing to 220%, and a trading volume of $8.4 million during the same period.It is reported that three is the native token of the Solana ecosystem AI project three.ws, launched by Pump fun. This project is a browser-native on-chain 3D AI agent platform that can generate 3D AI entities with one click and embed them into any website. The token began to surge on June 1 after an official account of IBM replied to related tweets on the X platform; yesterday, as three.ws officially announced a strategic partnership with IBM, the news further fermented today, combined with the favorable listing of the token on a trading platform, collectively driving the market cap higher.Meme coin trading is highly volatile, largely relying on market sentiment and speculative concepts, with no actual value or use cases, and investors should be aware of the risks.

According to CoinDesk, the Bitcoin Fear Index BVIV surged nearly 20% on Tuesday, marking the largest single-day increase since February 5. BVIV measures the 30-day implied volatility of Bitcoin, and this surge to 46.45% indicates that panic has re-emerged in the market after two months of calm.For the past two months, the sentiment in the Bitcoin market has remained calm, even as it fell from a May high of $82,000 to $75,000 last week, with BVIV hovering around 40%, the lowest point of the year, indicating that the decline at that time was orderly selling rather than panic. However, on Tuesday, the spot price of Bitcoin dropped over 6% to $66,000, causing BVIV to spike sharply. The index's trend increasingly resembles Wall Street's VIX Fear Index, showing an inverse correlation with the spot price of Bitcoin. Whether Tuesday's significant surge is just a one-day fluctuation or the beginning of a sustained volatility cycle remains to be seen.

According to Gate market data, U.S. stocks opened with the Dow Jones down 0.4%, the S&P 500 down 0.18%, and the Nasdaq down 0.2%. NVIDIA (NVDA.O) rose 0.6%, and NVIDIA Spectrum-X Ethernet silicon photonics technology has been fully mass-produced. Marvell Technology Group (MRVL.O) surged 16%, and Jensen Huang is optimistic that it will be the next trillion-dollar company. Broadcom (AVGO.O) rose 5%, and Morgan Stanley maintained a buy rating and raised the target price. STMicroelectronics rose 10%, and the company announced an increase in its full-year revenue target for the data center business.

The crypto sentiment platform Santiment published an analysis stating that the ratio of positive to negative comments about Ethereum has shifted from a strong FOMO sentiment in late April to a clear FUD sentiment now. Harvard University completely liquidated its $87 million Ethereum ETF one quarter after buying in; researchers from the Ethereum Foundation announced their resignations; and David Hoffman publicly stated his exit from the Ethereum project. The Santiment team interprets this trend as a mildly bullish signal, similar to the significant rise that followed the mid-2023 market sentiment low.Despite the panic sentiment, the number of non-bearish wallets for Ethereum remains as high as 192.92 million, more than three times Bitcoin's approximately 59 million. The activity in DeFi and staking trading surged at the beginning of the year and has since normalized, but the creation of new wallets continues to maintain a healthy growth rate. Fundamental data such as holders and activity do not support the claim that "the Ethereum network is dying." Additionally, the long-to-short ratio for Bitcoin has reached 2.23, the highest level since 2026. Previously, the highest daily long-to-short ratios often resulted in short-term price corrections, while extremely low short ratios indicate a local bottom. The current optimism stands in stark contrast to the outflow of short funds from ETFs, thus caution is warranted.

The probability of selling Bitcoin on Polymarket's Strategy has surged this week, rising from a low of 11% today to 30%. This morning, Strategy deposited 411.48 BTC into Coinbase, worth $30,300,000.

According to CoinDesk, Bitcoin mining company turned HPC infrastructure developer TeraWulf (WULF) announced the acquisition of a site in Kentucky, USA, capable of supporting over 1 gigawatt of AI and high-performance computing (HPC) loads for the development of a massive data center. The first phase of 500 megawatts is expected to gradually come online starting in the second half of 2028, with a goal of adding another 500 megawatts before 2030. The company stated that the key constraints in the market under the AI boom have shifted from computing hardware to power and transmission infrastructure. Following the news, TeraWulf's stock price surged 13% during trading, and shares of other companies in the same sector, such as Hut 8 (HUT), Keel Infrastructure (KEEL), IREN (IREN), and Cipher Mining (CIFR), also rose.

BitMEX senior research analyst Shang Wu stated that the continued rise in government bond yields signals an impending "structural" shift, which will create a "super cycle" for Bitcoin's price increase.Shang Wu pointed out that under the pressure of the $39 trillion U.S. debt and massive spending on AI infrastructure, central banks will ultimately respond through currency devaluation and invisible liquidity injections. At that time, investors will sell off devalued traditional assets and turn to allocate Bitcoin, a scarce asset that cannot be inflated.Last week, the yield on the 30-year U.S. Treasury bond broke 5.14%, while the yield on Japan's 10-year government bond reached 2.8%.He believes that while short-term volatility is inevitable, in the long run, this will be the biggest structural benefit for Bitcoin.

According to monitoring by Hyperinsight, the funding on the Hyperliquid cross-chain bridge has significantly increased, with USDC bridging inflows exceeding $268 million in the past 24 hours, reaching a new high since February 7; net inflows surpassed $173 million, reaching the highest level in nearly 10 months (since August 22 of last year), and on the same day, the total locked value on the cross-chain bridge reached $4.02 billion.As of the time of writing, the trading volume on Hyperliquid in the past 24 hours reached $7.84 billion, with an open interest of $9.6 billion, among which, trade.xyz had a trading volume of $2.59 billion and an open interest of $2.49 billion during the same period.

According to monitoring by Hyperinsight, SNDK (SanDisk) rose sharply again by 10% during the last trading day, maintaining a high position in the night session. The SNDK contract on the Hyperliquid platform is currently reported at $1540, with a daily trading volume of $101 million. The on-chain long position with the most considerable profit in this round of increase is 0x7b5, which went long on 2050.7 SNDK with 10x leverage, currently realizing a floating profit of $700,000. This address initially invested only $246,000 in April, with an average entry price of $1199, and has now recorded a return of 284% on the principal. Address: 0x7b51c5d9366077e1b3c1cba383389752f486071b.

According to GMGN monitoring, the Base ecosystem token GITLAWB rose by 30% within 1 hour, reaching a market cap high of $37.5 million, currently reported at $36.6 million, with a 24-hour increase of 39% and a trading volume of approximately $3.3 million during the same period.ChainCatcher reminds users that on-chain trading is highly volatile, largely relying on market sentiment and speculative concepts, and investors should be aware of the risks.

According to the Wall Street Journal, the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) is reviewing the surge in crude oil futures trading that occurred before Trump postponed action against Iran in March, and the CFTC has expressed concern about at least three companies.

Glassnode stated that the signals from various Bitcoin derivatives markets are diverging, and the overall structure is beginning to weaken. A significant shift in selling pressure has been observed, with the cumulative volume delta (CVD) for spot trading plummeting by 848.7%. Nevertheless, spot trading volume has increased by 4.2%, indicating a rise in trading activity, but this may stem more from trading interest rather than bullish sentiment. Open interest has slightly decreased by 2.9%, reflecting a cautious attitude towards leverage in an uncertain environment. However, the funding rate paid by the long side has surged by 136.6%, showing a rebound in demand for long positions and an increase in bullish sentiment among traders. Yet, the CVD for perpetual contracts has sharply declined by 278.7%, highlighting significant selling pressure and indicating that bearish sentiment still dominates.The 25-Delta Skew for options has risen by 42.75%, as traders seek more downside protection, with the market clearly turning bearish. Meanwhile, open interest and volatility spreads for options have increased by 1.7% and 124.52% respectively, indicating heightened market participation and increased expectations for future price volatility. The MVRV of the US spot ETF has decreased by 6.1%, with net flows for the ETF deteriorating sharply, reflecting a decline in institutional confidence. However, ETF trading volume has risen by 7%. On-chain activity presents a mixed picture: the number of active addresses has decreased, while the adjusted transfer volume has increased, suggesting relatively low network usage, but large amounts of capital continue to move.Overall, as momentum, spot demand, and speculative positions weaken across the board, the Bitcoin market structure is beginning to soften. Options traders are increasingly hedging against downside risks, liquidity and profitability indicators continue to cool, and the market structure remains relatively stable, but stable liquidity and the strength of long-term holders still provide some resilience to the market.

Morgan Stanley's defined "warning line" for the U.S. stock market has been breached. The bank's Chief Investment Officer and well-known Wall Street bull, Michael Wilson, warned that if U.S. Treasury yields continue to rise and volatility increases, the U.S. stock market will face "the first significant pullback since the end of March."Michael Wilson stated, "If long-term yields rise along with bond volatility, we expect the stock market to experience its first significant pullback since the bottom in late March." Previously, Morgan Stanley marked a 10-year U.S. Treasury yield of 4.5% as "the critical point where yields may pose a more obvious resistance to stock market valuations."