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According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the event "The United States announces a new agreement with Iran or extends the ceasefire" on the prediction market Polymarket, the probability of the "Yes" option in the submarket "June 30" has experienced significant fluctuations, soaring from 36.5% an hour ago to the current 51.5% (a fluctuation of 15%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

The United Nations Development Programme (UNDP) recently announced the establishment of the Blockchain Advisory Group (BAG) during the Proof of Talk 2026 in Paris, focusing on optimizing public systems and governance through blockchain technology. The first meeting was chaired by UNDP Deputy Administrator Xu Haoliang, with the initial in-depth topic being inclusive finance and digital finance, discussing obstacles such as fragmented payment systems, limited digital identities, insufficient interoperability, and institutional readiness, while assessing how blockchain can complement existing digital public infrastructure to enhance financial accessibility, efficiency, and transparency.BAG plans to hold two meetings each year to promote cooperation with the blockchain ecosystem around themes such as digital governance and public trust, legal identity and inclusive societies, digital financial services, climate and traceable accountability, digital labor and the future of work. Current members include 26 institutions such as the Ethereum Foundation, Filecoin Foundation, Stellar Development Foundation, Algorand Foundation, Arbitrum Foundation, Celo Foundation, Web3 Foundation, and Kraken.

Tether CEO Paolo Ardoino posted a "Dragon Ball" comic image on the X platform, featuring the main character Goku and many supporting characters lifting a Spirit Bomb labeled "BTC," along with the caption "One Community," calling for the crypto community to unite during the bear market.

According to Cointelegraph, the Illinois State Legislature has passed the budget for the fiscal year 2027, which includes a provision to impose a 0.2% tax on cryptocurrency transactions, to be collected by digital asset brokers. This measure, referred to as the "privilege tax," is part of the amendment to the "Digital Asset Privilege Tax Act," which includes registration requirements for any digital asset broker operating in Illinois.Starting from January 1, brokers who fail to comply with the relevant regulations may be classified as a Class 3 felony in the state, facing two to five years of imprisonment and a fine of up to $25,000. The budget has been approved by the state legislature on Monday but still requires the signature of Governor JB Pritzker to take effect. JB Pritzker has publicly stated multiple times that he plans to sign the bill as soon as possible, but as of Friday morning, he has not yet signed it. Legislators expect that the cryptocurrency tax will generate $60 million in revenue for the state.

According to Jinshi, the seasonally adjusted non-farm payrolls in the United States increased by 172,000 in May, exceeding the market expectation of an increase of 85,000.

Coinbase posted on the X platform that the first mortgage in the U.S. backed by Fannie Mae and using Bitcoin as the underlying asset has been successfully issued.The loan was initiated and serviced by Better, with technology supported by Coinbase. Coinbase stated that the product will be promoted nationwide this summer, providing innovative mortgage options for Bitcoin holders while advancing the application of crypto assets in traditional finance.

According to Jinshi, the ADP employment number in the U.S. for May is 122,000, expected to be 117,000, and the previous value was 109,000.

According to Jinshi, the number of JOLTs job openings in the U.S. significantly increased in April, rising from 6,890,000 in March to 7,620,000, reaching the highest level in nearly two years. At the same time, the number of layoffs decreased to 1,690,000, indicating a strong labor market. Although the number of job openings is still below the levels seen during the pandemic reopening, this stability may weaken the rationale for interest rate cuts, and Federal Reserve officials are beginning to discuss the possibility of interest rate hikes.

According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the market prediction on Polymarket regarding the event "The United States announces a new agreement or ceasefire extension with Iran," the "Yes" option in the sub-market "June 30" experienced significant fluctuations in winning probability, soaring from 46.5% an hour ago to the current 62% (a fluctuation of 15.5%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

According to Gate market data, influenced by reports of Iran halting communication with the United States, the US Dollar Index DXY rose to a daily high of 99.23.

Kraken announced plans to launch its first CFTC-regulated perpetual futures product for the U.S. market within the next 30 days. Eligible U.S. customers will be able to trade perpetual futures on digital assets such as BTC, ETH, SOL, XRP, ADA, LINK, DOGE, LTC, and AVAX through Kraken Pro.Kraken stated that it will gradually expand the types of contracts and product features in the future, as well as provide more collateral options. It is reported that the perpetual futures on Kraken Pro are provided by NinjaTrader Clearing, LLC (operating under the name Kraken Derivatives US), which is a CFTC-registered futures commission merchant. The related spot margin and perpetual futures products will be offered on Bitnomial Exchange, which is a CFTC-regulated exchange recently acquired by Kraken's parent company, Payward.

According to The Block, the United States has seized approximately $1 billion in cryptocurrency assets from Iran, nearly double the government's previous estimate. U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Basset stated on Friday at the 2026 Reagan National Economic Forum that the U.S. believes Iran is stealing about $400 million to $500 million per month by evading sanctions. "I believe we have seized about $1 billion of their cryptocurrency," he said. "We have directly confiscated their wallets. Some of them may be inputting information right now, but they may not realize that their wallets have already been confiscated." On April 29, Basset stated that the U.S. had seized "nearly $500 million" in Iranian cryptocurrency assets.

According to on-chain data monitored by Catcher Predict, significant capital movements are predicted in the market Polymarket. A large whale invested $72,551 in the event "Will the U.S. announce a new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension before..?" for the date "May 28." Based on the current transaction price, the latest corresponding probability for this target is 95.07%.

United Texas Bank announced that it has received approval from the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) to convert its state bank charter into a national bank charter, allowing it to directly access the Federal Reserve payment systems (ACH and Wire) while maintaining FDIC insurance coverage. This will provide a more stable dollar banking channel for cryptocurrency exchanges, OTC desks, and stablecoin-related businesses, addressing the dollar settlement and liquidity issues in the cryptocurrency market.

According to on-chain data monitored by Catcher Predict, significant capital movements are predicted in the market Polymarket. A large whale invested $103,282.44 in the event "Will the U.S. and Iran reach a permanent peace agreement before..?" on "May 31." Based on the current transaction price, the latest corresponding win rate for this subject is 89%.

According to Lookonchain monitoring, the net outflow of Bitcoin ETFs in the United States is 9,012 BTC, the net outflow of Ethereum ETFs is 40,247 ETH, and the net inflow of Solana ETFs is 2,401 SOL.

According to The Block, asset management company VanEck officially launched the VanEck BNB ETF (ticker: VBNB) on Thursday, becoming the first exchange-traded product in the United States to offer spot exposure to BNB. VBNB is backed by physical BNB held in a cold wallet at Anchorage Digital Bank, with a management fee of 0.39%, and currently does not support staking functionality.

According to PRNewswire, the stablecoin issuer Paxos announced that its subsidiary Paxos Securities Settlement Company, LLC (PSSC) has received approval from the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) to officially register as a clearing agency, providing securities clearing and settlement services under the Securities Exchange Act.It is reported that this registration makes PSSC the first blockchain-native approved registered clearing agency in the United States, capable of providing clearing and settlement services as a Central Securities Depository (CSD) for qualified securities transactions.

According to CoinDesk, United Texas Bank (UTB) has received approval from the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) to convert from a state-chartered bank to a national-chartered bank, becoming one of the first banks to complete the OCC conversion since the Dodd-Frank Act was passed 15 years ago. The bank's CEO Scott Beck stated that this move gives it the same federal license and direct access to the Federal Reserve payment system as large banks like Bank of America and JPMorgan Chase.The bank currently clears about $10 billion monthly for global crypto enterprises and has launched the AI-driven real-time payment network UTB Atomic and the compliance platform UTB Prism Sentinel to restore 24/7 crypto liquidity. The bank also plans to launch a digital asset custody and trust services division this summer.

United Texas Bank, headquartered in Dallas, has transitioned from a Texas-chartered bank to a nationally chartered bank approved by the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency, positioning itself as an institution connecting global cryptocurrency companies with the U.S. banking system. United Texas Bank states that it currently has the same federal licensing and direct access to the Federal Reserve as major currency center banks, and it has been clearing approximately $10 billion in dollar transactions monthly for global cryptocurrency companies.The bank is launching a 24/7 AI-driven payment network, UTB Atomic, in conjunction with its compliance platform, UTB Prism Sentinel, to restore around-the-clock cryptocurrency liquidity and meet emerging federal regulations related to digital assets and stablecoins.