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路透社民調顯示哈里斯支持率高於特朗普,但 Polymarket 上特朗普仍大幅領先

2024-07-24 22:21:47
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ChainCatcher 消息,在最近的路透社/益普索民意調查中,卡馬拉·哈里斯(44%)以微弱優勢領先於唐納德·特朗普(42%)。誤差幅度在 3 個百分點以內,這意味著在最糟糕的情況下,哈里斯將落後特朗普 1%。

但加密貨幣預測市場 Polymarket 預測特朗普仍將以相當大的優勢獲勝。該市場預測特朗普贏得大選的機率為 62%,而哈里斯的機率為 36%。

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