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分析師:油價上漲或成為通脹更具結構性的驅動因素

2026-04-07 16:58:42
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ChainCatcher 消息,阿布扎比第一銀行分析師在報告中表示,油價的強勢已經並將繼續(至少在短期內)成為通脹壓力更具結構性的驅動因素。分析師指出,通脹壓力已導致在央行降息預期消退的情況下利率遭到拋售。此前市場預期美聯儲今年將降息兩到三次,但這些預期已被排除。

LSEG 數據顯示,貨幣市場目前預計 2026 年美國政策利率將基本保持不變,存在非常微小的緊縮傾向。市場甚至計入了歐洲央行和英國央行到今年年底更為鷹派的加息情景,分別加息 74 個基點和 56 個基點,"這很大程度上是歐洲輸入型能源通脹的結果"。

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