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BTC $85,299.98 +0.73%
ETH $2,701.04 +0.65%
BNB $789.42 +2.44%
XRP $1.50 +0.84%
SOL $121.46 +1.74%
TRX $0.3361 -0.12%
DOGE $0.0936 +0.83%
ADA $0.2450 -0.26%
BCH $318.51 +2.20%
LINK $14.07 +1.12%
HYPE $90.30 +2.75%
AAVE $179.56 -1.06%
SUI $1.18 -0.73%
XLM $0.2157 +0.39%
ZEC $1,331.17 +1.64%
AAPL $333.39 +0.04%
AMZN $252.46 +0.23%
GOOGL $344.07 +0.32%
MSFT $517.90 +0.14%
META $729.35 +0.13%
NVDA $234.59 +0.14%
TSLA $371.35 +0.19%
SNDK $1,717.72 +0.07%
INTC $118.93 +0.64%
SPCX $159.19 +0.09%
MU $1,068.81 -0.12%
AMD $632.41 +0.03%

分析師:比特幣幂律模型釋放信號,參考目標價或可達 15.78 萬美元

2026-10-04 14:42:43

ChainCatcher 消息,加密分析師 Darkfost 發文表示,過去十年間,比特幣價格圍繞 "幂律 (Power Law)" 趨勢線的波動幅度正在逐漸降低,市場周期波動趨於收斂,振盪指標峰值已從 2018 年的 +169 下降至 2025 年的 +102,其日變化標準差也從 4.81 降至 2.47,跌幅約 49%。

Darkfost 補充稱,截至該模型振盪指標為 +34.5,比特幣價格約為 84,700 美元。根據當日模型參數計算,振盪指標達到 +100 對應的比特幣價格約為 157,800 美元,較當前價格高出約 86%,他同時指出 157,800 美元並非固定目標價,而是基於目前回歸參數計算出的參考水平,如果未來幂律趨勢線繼續上升,該參考價格也將隨之提高。

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